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Area Forecast Discussion

734
FXUS62 KJAX 271321
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
921 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO NUDGE SOUTH...LOCATED NEAR THE
FL/GA BORDER AS OF MID MORNING. AN IMPULSE IN ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW
IS CROSSING CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH A BAND OF SHOWERS CONTINUING TO
STREAM ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE REST OF THE DAY...WITH PERHAPS SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FORMING
ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS NE FL. WILL USE
NUMEROUS/CATEGORICAL POPS FOR MARION COUNTY...WITH SCATTERED POPS
NORTH OF AROUND GNV...AND ISOLATED MAINLY AFTN POPS FURTHER NORTH
TO AROUND THE FL/GA LINE. WITH SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER CLOSE TO
THE MID LEVEL IMPULSE...WILL USE ONLY ISOLATED TSTMS THIS AFTN
WITH NO STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS EXPECTED. NE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
RESULT IN COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES...WITH MID/UPPER 70S CLOSER TO
THE COAST AND LOWER 80S FAR INLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS ARE DEVELOPING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO NE FLORIDA. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING
FOR JAX/CRG/VQQ/SSI. FURTHER SOUTH...BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL
OCCASIONALLY AFFECT GNV WITH MVFR THIS MORNING. GENERAL VFR WILL
PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO WORSEN
OVERNIGHT TO MVFR AS NUMEROUS SHOWERS BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.

&&

.MARINE...
LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW WINDS OFFSHORE AROUND 15 KNOTS...AND WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT INCREASE EXPECTED...WILL USE 15 KNOTS FOR ALL
OFFSHORE LEGS AND LOWER THE CAUTION WITH THE MORNING UPDATE.
SUB-CAUTION CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT/TUESDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY. MODERATE RISK ON TUESDAY DUE TO
STRENGTHENING ONSHORE WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  79  60  73  60 /  10  30  50  90
SSI  74  62  69  65 /  10  30  50  70
JAX  79  63  75  65 /  10  50  60  60
SGJ  78  66  74  68 /  10  60  70  60
GNV  82  65  79  65 /  40  70  80  70
OCF  82  67  80  67 /  70  70  80  80

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/SANDRIK/GUILLET



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