National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Area Forecast Discussion

720
FXUS62 KJAX 200042
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
842 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013


.UPDATE...UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE AREA SENT STORMS SOUTH INTO SE
GA WHICH INTENSIFIED THIS EVENING WHEN ENCOUNTERING THE EAST COAST
SEABREEZE AND THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE NEAR THE GA-FL BORDER AS POCKETS OF LINGERING INSTABILITY
STILL EXIST. CURRENT CONVECTION NOT AS STRONG BUT HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STILL POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. WILL LEAVE IN
AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF
STORMS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AS WEAK UPPER LOW/TROUGH SINKS SOUTH
INTO NE FL WITH BEST COVERAGE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AT TAF SITES. EXPECT
CHANCE OF THUNDER AT TAF SITES STARTING AS EARLY AS LATE
MORNING...AFTER 14Z.

&&

.MARINE...LITTLE CHANGE WITH SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS
AROUND 3 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK ON MONDAY DUE TO LONG PERIOD EASTERLY
SWELLS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  67  86  64  89 /  50  50  30  30
SSI  71  80  69  81 /  10  30  20  20
JAX  68  84  67  86 /  30  50  30  30
SGJ  69  82  68  82 /  10  40  10  20
GNV  67  85  65  88 /  30  50  30  30
OCF  67  87  67  89 /  20  50  30  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ZIBURA/SHULER/CHASE