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Area Forecast Discussion

756
FXUS64 KHUN 270451 AAD
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1151 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.UPDATE...
For 06Z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
 (Issued 934 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016)

The forecast area remains on the western fringe of a surface high
pressure system off the Atlantic Coast. Weak upper level ridging also
dominated portions of the southeastern CONUS, with several
shortwaves moving just to the northwest of the area. An earlier MCS
to the north has all but dissipated as it approached the forecast
area...given the dry air in place. Area radars still show ongoing
convection from another MCS over northern MS and western TN, however
given the trends over the last few volume scans, this should not
progress too far east. Therefore, no pops were extended through the
overnight hours. Only changes made to the previous forecast were to
account for hourly trends. Although temps have cooled a few degrees
quicker than previously forecast, dense cirrus from the MCS to our
west should level off the cooling overnight and the forecast package
seems to be on track.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
For 06Z TAFs:

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours at the KMSL and
KHSV terminals. Winds will generally remain from the south and may
gust at times during the afternoon, however confidence is too low to
add gusts in the forecast.

73

&&

.HUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

For more information please visit our website
at weather.gov/huntsville.



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