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Area Forecast Discussion

604
FXUS64 KHUN 041853 AAD
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1253 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE AMENDED THE FORECAST DUE TO THE ISSUANCE OF THE WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA FROM 09Z-21Z ON THURSDAY. THE
COLD FRONT AT 19Z WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING NORTHEAST FROM
NEAR SAVANNAH TENNESSEE...TO NEAR COLUMBIA TENNESSEE INTO SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THE CURRENT TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT MAKING IT INTO
THE FORECAST AREA BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON LOOKS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE.
WILL NOT BE MAKING ANY OTHER CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST AT THIS
TIME.

TT

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1144 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015/
FOR 18Z TAFS...STILL EXPECTING VCSH FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH -RA
MOVING INTO KMSL BY 19Z AND KHSV BY 22Z DUE TO A SLOW MOVING FRONT
THAT IS SINKING SOUTHEAST. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW ON LOCATION TO INCLUDE IN TAFS. RAIN COULD BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER 23/00Z AND WILL TRANSITION TO
FREEZING RAIN AROUND 9-11Z. AS WITH MOST WINTER EVENTS...THIS TIMING
COULD EASILY SHIFT IN EITHER DIRECTION BASED ON HOW THE TEMPERATURES
TREND. FZRA SHOULD THEN TRANSITION TO -IP/SN BY MORNING WITH POSSIBLY
A HALF AN INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION AFTER 14/16Z BEFORE IT ENDS.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A FEW BRIEF LULLS
POSSIBLE.

LN

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST THURSDAY FOR ALZ001>010-
     016.

TN...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST THURSDAY FOR TNZ076-096-
     097.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.



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