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Area Forecast Discussion

567
FXUS64 KHUN 060800
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
200 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MOST OF THE CWA HAD CLR SKIES ATTM BUT STLT DO SHOW SOME LOW
CLOUDS...MAINLY E OF I65...DRIFTING WEST. TEMPS WERE VERY COLD WITH
MOST LOCATIONS ARND 20 DEGREES AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TEENS.

FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES
MOSTLY SUNNY/CLR ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND. TEMPS WILL GO ABOVE
FREEZING BY 11 AM/NOON TODAY AND WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE...YESTERDAY`S
SLEET/FZRA SHOULD MOSTLY MELT BY THE AFTN AS HIGHS CLIMB TO ARND 40.
EXPECT ANOTHER COLD NIGHT TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S. BUT BY
SATURDAY THE WARMING TREND REALLY STARTS TO KICK IN WITH AFTN HIGHS
IN THE LOW/MID 50S.

SUNNY SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO CLOUDY/RAINY CONDITIONS BEGINNING SUNDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING THRU NEXT FRIDAY...AS AN UNSETTLED WX PATTERN
SHAPES UP ACROSS THE REGION. BY SUNDAY AN APPROACHING UPPER TROF WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS INCREASING THE CHC OF SHRA ACROSS THE CWA.
THIS UPPER TROF ALONG WITH A OLD BOUNDARY ACROSS THE GULF COAST WILL
KEEP SHRA IN THE FCST ON MONDAY AS WELL. BY TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY GFS
KEEPS IT MAINLY DRY WHILE THE ECMWF IS MORE BULLISH WITH THE CHC OF
PCPN. SINCE GOING WITH THE BLENDED MODELS WILL KEEP THIS PERIOD WET.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY ANOTHER UPPER TROF CONTINUES THE CHC OF MORE SHRA
ACROSS THE CWA WITH ECMWF/GFS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. OVERALL NO
SIGNIFICANT SVR WX IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER COULD HAVE A POTENTIAL HVY
RAIN EVENT BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THE CHC OF ANY WINTER WX LOOKS
VERY LOW AS TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO BE IN THE 40S FOR LOWS AND 60S FOR
AFTN HIGHS. COULD SPRING BE JUST ARND THE CORNER?

07

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1143 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A MAJORITY OF NORTHERN ALABAMA
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF NE ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE WHERE A FEW/SCT LOW CLOUDS AROUND 2KFT
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10Z. NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10KTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH BRIEF GUSTS TO 15 KTS POSSIBLE.
THEN WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON EVENING.

STUMPF

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    39  24  54  33 /   0   0   0   0
SHOALS        40  24  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
VINEMONT      39  24  54  33 /   0   0   0   0
FAYETTEVILLE  37  23  52  31 /   0   0   0   0
ALBERTVILLE   43  24  54  33 /   0   0   0   0
FORT PAYNE    42  23  53  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.



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