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Area Forecast Discussion

858
FXUS64 KHUN 100923
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
323 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO PUSH TO THE EAST OF THE TN VALLEY. HOWEVER THERE
MAY BE A FEW FLURRIES OVER OUR EXTREME NERN COUNTIES FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. TEMPS AT 300 AM WERE MAINLY ARND 20 WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
TEENS. AT 5H GOOD NW FLOW CONTINUES OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS
MRNG MOST OF THE CWA WILL HAVE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...HOWEVER BY THE
AFTN A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE JUST NE OF THE TN VALLEY.
ATTM NOT EXPECTING ANY PCPN WITH THIS DISTURBANCE BUT WILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS BY THE AFTN. TODAY HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH
THE MID 30S. FOR TONIGHT THE ABOVE MENTIONED CLOUDS MAY LAST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CWA WHICH WOULD KEEP THURSDAY`S MRNG LOWS A LITTLE
WARMER (MID 20S) THAN THIS MRNG LOWS.

ON THURSDAY...A WEAK SFC HIGH WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A
LITTLE WARMER AFTN HIGHS (ARND 50).

LOOKS LIKE BY FRIDAY A DRY CDFNT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE CWA WITH
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLDER AIR FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY
SHOULD BE COLD (HIGHS IN THE MID 30S) BUT DRY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...HOLD ON TO YOUR HAT HERE COMES ANOTHER POSSIBLE
WINTER WX EVENT BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MRNG. A SFC LOW WILL
MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES DRAGGING A CDFNT TOWARDS THE TN VALLEY.
THERE LOOKS TO BE A GOOD LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW OF MOISTURE ACROSS
THE CWA BY SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A GOOD
CHC OF PCPN. ATTM GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE HINTING AT RA/SN/SLEET
MIX BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY...BUT
ALSO CANT RULE OUT A LITTLE FREEZING RA. THIS WILL ALL DEPEND ON HOW
MUCH WARMING THERE WILL BE AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. ALSO NOT EXPECTING ANY
SVR WX WITH THIS CDFNT. ANYHOW SINCE THIS IS SO FAR OUT IN THE FCST
TIMING AND PCPN TYPE WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED BY LATER SHIFTS. THE
CDFNT SHOULD BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT TAKING THE
PCPN WITH IT.

TUESDAY...THERE WILL NOT BE ANY ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED CDFNT AS AFTN HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 50S WITH DRY
CONDITIONS.

007

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1145 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
A FEW LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE BUT ALL PRECIP IS CLEAR OF THE
TERMINALS AS OF 05Z. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SOME MIDLEVEL
CLOUDS REMAINING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF ALABAMA BUT BASED ON
TRENDS THESE SHOULD CLEAR TO THE EAST IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS LEAVING
ONLY A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. WINDS WILL FAVOR A W/NW DIRECTION FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH SPEEDS OVER 10KTS AND GUSTS UPWARDS OF
18KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. SOME BRIEF
FLURRIES MAY ACCOMPANY THE CLOUDS BUT WITH VERY DRY AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE NOTHING IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE GROUND.

STUMPF

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    36  26  50  29 /  10   0   0   0
SHOALS        37  27  51  29 /  10   0   0   0
VINEMONT      36  26  49  29 /  10   0   0   0
FAYETTEVILLE  34  23  47  27 /  10   0   0   0
ALBERTVILLE   35  26  48  29 /  10   0   0   0
FORT PAYNE    34  24  48  28 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.



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