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NWS Peachtree City, Ga » Text Product » CAE Area Forecast Discussion
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Surrounding: BMX MRX FFC CAE TAE Current Version Previous Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Area Forecast Discussion438 FXUS62 KCAE 030205 AFDCAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 1005 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT... AND PERHAPS TROPICAL MOISTURE...WILL BRING THE THREAT OF UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/... SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT...PROBABLY THIN. BUT GUIDANCE MOS AND BIAS SUGGEST RAISING TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST GIVEN LESS THAN IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING. SO MID TO UPPER 50S. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN US THROUGH SATURDAY AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH SLOWLY PROGRESSES EAST INTO THE CENTRAL US. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THURSDAY...ALLOWING A MORE ONSHORE FLOW AND SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE. STILL EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE MID/UPPER 80S WITH NIGHT-TIME LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... BY SUNDAY THE UPPER RIDGE WILL HAVE MOVED OFF THE COAST AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW COMES OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. MOISTURE INCREASES AS DO POPS WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. GFS HINTING AT BRINGING IN SOME TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG WITH THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SO UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH FOR THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. WEDNESDAY IS EVEN MORE UNCERTAIN AS MOISTURE MAY LINGER BEHIND THE FRONT. FOR NOW WILL LEAN MORE TOWARDS A SOMEWHAT DRIER SCENARIO FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY WILL BE A LITTLE ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY SUNDAY THEN COOLING INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK AS CLOUDS MAY LINGER AND THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION CONTINUES. && .AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD...WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE REGION. ONLY CONCERN IS FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT/EARLY THU MORNING AT FOG PRONE SITES SUCH AS AGS AND POSSIBLY OGB. HOWEVER...SATELLITE INDICATES SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS MAY CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. IT APPEARS THERE ARE ENOUGH BREAKS IN THE CLOUDINESS TO ALLOW SOME FOG TO FORM. DUE TO UNCERTAINTY...WILL NOT FORECAST LIFR VSBYS AT AGS AT THIS TIME. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...POTENTIAL FOR LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG THROUGH SAT. STRATUS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING. INCREASING MOISTURE EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...POSSIBLY TROPICAL. && .CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...NONE. GA...NONE. && $$ |