« Back
NWS Peachtree City, Ga » Text Product » CAE Area Forecast Discussion


Printer-friendly Version     Surrounding:  BMX  MRX  FFC  CAE  TAE  
Current Version              Previous Versions:   1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  

Area Forecast Discussion

885
FXUS62 KCAE 231138
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
738 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS ACROSS THE UPSTATE THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY SKIES HAVE CLEARED AND THE AIRMASS REMAINS RATHER MOIST
IN THE LOW LEVELS AND SOME AREAS OF FOG HAVE FORMED. THERE ARE
SOME PATCHY AREAS OF DENSE FOG...BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH AT THIS
TIME FOR AN ADVISORY. EXPECT ANY FOG TO DISSIPATE AFTER 12Z.
BEHIND THE FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM
THE NORTH AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD. GUIDANCE
AND LOCAL NUMBERS VERY CLOSE AND HAVE STAYED NEAR CONSENSUS FOR
THE AFTERNOON HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS. AS FOR LOWS
TONIGHT...EXPECT CLEAR SKIES WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS.
MODELS DO INDICATE AT 25 KT LOW LEVEL JET...BUT EXPECT WINDS TO
BECOME LIGHT/CALM MOST PLACES TOWARD MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WV LOOP THIS MORNING SHOWS A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
WEST THAT WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BY THURSDAY THEN MOVE
OFF THE COAST BY THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DOMINATE THURSDAY THEN MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT
AND SURFACE FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHEAST/SOUTH. EXPECT A MODEST
INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATE THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. MODELS SHOW A WEAK S/W MOVING ACROSS THE
OH/TN VALLEY REGION AND AFFECTING THE CWA BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. MODELS INDICATE SOME WEAK MOISTURE FLUX AND INCREASING
ISENTROPIC LIFT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHING THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...EXPECT AN INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS. ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO THE WESTERN MIDLANDS
AND PIEDMONT TOWARD MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH.
HAVE CONTINUED A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO FRIDAY AS
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. IT LOOKS LIKE THE DIFFUSE/WEAK
FRONT/TROUGH THAT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY
STALL NEAR/JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA FOR SATURDAY. AT THIS
TIME...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS LOOK LOW AND CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL ALSO LOOK LOW. GUIDANCE AND LOCAL NUMBERS VERY CLOSE
THROUGH THE PERIOD AND HAVE STAYED NEAR A CONSENSUS OF THE
GUIDANCE. THIS MEANS THAT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR/JUST ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REMNANTS OF OLD FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE
WEEKEND...BUT MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
SEASONABLE OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE WEEKEND. UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING INTO THE MIDWEST LATE IN THE
PERIOD. DEEP SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING IN THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
MOISTURE INCREASE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO
NORMAL...BUT COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY MID/LATE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
CLEAR SKIES OVER OUR FORECAST AREA WITH PATCHY AREAS OF IFR VSBYS.
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ENTIRE AREA BY 14Z. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
BECOMMING NW 5 TO 10KTS AS CDFNT PUSHES TO THE COAST BY 15Z.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONT MAY PROVIDE CIG RESTRICTIONS AND POSSIBLE LIGHT SHOWER
ACTIVITY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS AND
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOODING ALONG THE AREA RIVERS AND LAKES FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL
SEVERAL DAYS AGO AS NEARLY DIMINISHED. SOME MINOR FLOODING
CONTINUES ON LAKE WATEREE BUT EXPECT THE POOL LEVEL ON THE LAKE TO
FALL BELOW 100.0 FEET AROUND 6 AM THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
FALL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.