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Area Forecast Discussion

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FXUS64 KBMX 260231
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
931 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The general confluence zones generated from the large gulf system
continue to generate showers and thunderstorms even into this late
hour. Some of these storms have cold pooled out as well, further
aiding the lift and mixing. Will likely continue to see a
reduction in coverage as the overnight progresses, although
confluence bands are an optimal way to generate overnight
convection, so don`t be surprised if additional storms develop as
this band and the one currently along the coast rotates further
north. Will keep the mention of pops over the next several hours
as this line moves north out of the forecast area. Updates are
out.

17/KLAWS

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF Discussion.

Isold shwrs will continue across areas along and east of I-65 thru
0130z. The shwrs will impact KEET, KANB, and KASN briefly and reduce
vsbys to 3-5 miles. VFR conds will prevail overnight and thru 18Z.
Sct tstms will develop during the heating of the day on Tuesday.
The best coverage of storms will likely be across south Alabama
due to sea-breeze enhanced activity, and included VCTS at KMGM and
KTOI.

58/rose

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the next
several days with highs in the 90s. Surface winds will be rather
light and generally from the south then southeast, although some
variability will also exist. Since surface dew points are so high,
critical fire weather thresholds are not expected to be met with
no watches or warnings anticipated.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$



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