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Area Forecast Discussion

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FXUS64 KBMX 192000
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
300 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS.

58

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     41  73  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  74  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  75  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  76  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  74  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  74  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  78  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        45  77  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/58





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