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Area Forecast Discussion

355
FXUS64 KBMX 200452
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1152 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DISSIPATED QUICKLY THIS EVENING DUE TO
LACK OF ANY UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. UPDATED FORECAST TO REMOVE RAIN
CHANCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. EASTERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE SOME LOW CLOUDS ACROSS EAST ALABAMA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

58/ROSE


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

EVENING SOUNDINGS CAME IN A LITTLE DRIER THAN WAS ANTICIPATING AND
MODEL TRENDS HAVE ALSO SLOWLY BACKED OFF THE DURATION AND OVERALL
POSSIBILITY THE MVFR CEILINGS. SATELLITE SHOWING SOME PATCHES OF
MVFR DEVELOPING IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THINK THE BEST
CHANCE WILL BE AT ANB SO WILL LEAVE A MENTION OF IT IN THAT
LOCATION. THE OTHER AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE AT TOI DUE TO THE
AFTERNOON RAINFALL. AFTERNOON CROSSOVER TEMPS WOULD PUT A FOG THREAT
AROUND 63 OR 64. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE UP ENOUGH
TO PREVENT FOG BUT SOME LOWER CEILINGS SEEM PLAUSIBLE. EASTERLY
WINDS THROUGH TOMORROW.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









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