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Area Forecast Discussion

473
FXUS64 KBMX 011634
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1134 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW IS DOMINATING LATE THIS MORNING WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. THIS
MORNING`S KBMX 12Z SOUNDING PRESENTS A GOOD AMOUNT OF DRY AND
WARMER AIR ALOFT...ESPECIALLY JUST ABOVE 700MB. THAT SHOULD KEEP US
DRY THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY WITH VERY LOW CHANCES OF ANY
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS WERE PERFORMED TO THE SHORT
TERM FORECAST IN TERMS OF CLOUD COVER AND HOURLY TEMPERATURES...BUT
EVERYTHING ELSE IS CURRENTLY ON TRACK FOR TODAY.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS FOR MOST...WITH ONLY A COUPLE OF SITES WITH SOME
MVFR FOG POSSIBLE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS THIS MORNING IN THE MORE
CLIMATOLOGICAL FOG SITES ALONG WITH LOW DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS.
OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR LIGHT WINDS UNDER THE GENERAL INFLUENCE OF
RIDGING AND SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS AROUND TODAY AND TONIGHT
ALONG WITH SOME THIN CIRRUS. MOISTURE WILL BE OVERALL SHALLOW AND
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

08

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A RETURN TO
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLD VALUES. NO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     89  69  89  68  89 /  10  10  10  10  10
ANNISTON    88  70  90  70  89 /  10  10  10  10  20
BIRMINGHAM  89  72  90  71  89 /  10  10  10  10  20
TUSCALOOSA  92  72  92  73  91 /  10  10  10  10  20
CALERA      90  73  89  72  89 /  10  10  10  10  20
AUBURN      89  72  90  72  89 /  10  10  20  10  30
MONTGOMERY  94  73  93  73  91 /  10  10  20  10  30
TROY        92  72  92  73  91 /  10  10  20  10  40

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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