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Area Forecast Discussion

468
FXUS64 KBMX 211135
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP PREVAILING CONDITIONS VFR THRU
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 5 KTS AS ANOTHER
DRY COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY NEAR CULLMAN...PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







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