« Back
NWS Peachtree City, Ga » Text Product » BMX Area Forecast Discussion


Printer-friendly Version     Surrounding:  BMX  MRX  FFC  CAE  TAE  
Current Version              Previous Versions:   1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  

Area Forecast Discussion

699
FXUS64 KBMX 252351
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
551 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.UPDATE...
AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

STRONG SHORTWAVE APPROACHING THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE NORTHWEST
WITH SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WARMED UP NICELY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS. MOST LOCATIONS ARE IN
THE 60S.

EXPECTING SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
NORTH AND CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE BUT THAT
POTENTIAL SEEMS PRETTY LOW AT THIS TIME. STILL NOT SEEING ANY
REASON TO INCLUDE WINTRY WEATHER FOR OUR AREA AS THE PROFILES ARE
TOO WARM NEARER TO THE SURFACE.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WILL FEATURE A CONTINUED RATHER
PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WITH SEVERAL MORE SYSTEMS TEASING US
TO THE NORTH. THE 12Z EURO SEEMS TO LIKE THE WAVE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING MORE THAN SOME OF THE OTHER MODELS. FEEL ITS
WORTH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POPS BUT FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS STILL
PRETTY LOW. NOTHING UNUSUAL ABOUT THE TEMPERATURES THE NEXT 7
DAYS.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN TERMINALS THIS EVENING. BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS. STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50KTS. THIS THREAT WILL END BY 03Z...AND CHANCE OF A STRONG STORM AT
ANY ONE TERMINAL IS LOW. OUTSIDE OF RAIN ACTIVITY...SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 20KT ARE POSSIBLE.  HAVE TIMED OUT RAIN ACTIVITY
BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS USING TEMPOS FOR THE LAST BAND TO COME
THROUGH TONIGHT.  BEHIND THAT LINE...WINDS WILL TURN TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST. LOWER CIGS COULD ALSO SPREAD INTO THE AREA EARLY MONDAY
MORNING AS WINDS INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST. GIVEN THE DIFFERENCE
IN FORECAST GUIDANCE WILL ADD IN MVFR CIGS FOR NOW AND MONITOR
TRENDS UPSTREAM. SKIES EXPECTED TO CLEAR DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
WINDS DIMINISH.

14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     38  43  30  50  29 /  40  10   0   0   0
ANNISTON    39  44  32  53  30 /  40  10   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  39  45  34  55  32 /  40  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  40  48  35  58  34 /  20  10   0   0   0
CALERA      39  46  35  55  33 /  30  10   0   0   0
AUBURN      39  47  34  55  33 /  10  10   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  41  50  35  60  34 /  10  10   0   0   0
TROY        41  51  35  60  35 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$














USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.