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Area Forecast Discussion

566
FXUS64 KBMX 291946
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
246 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...

Tonight and Monday.

Weak surface ridging is present today across Central Alabama on the
dry side for the most part of Bonnie. We are getting some cumulus
development with heating and a few isolated showers are popping up
here and there. Any showers that pop up should be short lived and
not strong. Will not carry any mentioned rain chances for tonight.
Expecting any lingering activity to die off near sunset with the
loss of heating. For Memorial Day, this Monday, looking for pretty
similar conditions. Some isolated mainly afternoon showers are
possible, but definitely not enough to cancel any plans as overall
weak ridging will still be present. Temperatures will be similar as
well with little change in the atmosphere for Monday from today.

08

.LONG TERM...
Monday night - Sunday.

As the week continues, showers and thunderstorms will be mainly
driven with the typical summer afternoon diurnal pattern with isolated
to scattered coverage. Later in the work week and into the weekend,
the pattern looks to relax as a remnant cold front tries to move
in from the northwest and an upper low cuts off over eastern Texas,
which would increase rain chances perhaps as early as Thursday but
more likely on Friday. This system slowly migrates over the deep
south during next weekend and appears to be the next possibility
to a more widespread rain event for much of the south.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

VFR tafs are expected for the most part with some fair weather
cumulus clouds building this afternoon SCT-BKN from around
4500-6000 FT. There is a very low chance that with daytime heating
we come have some small short lived showers but chances are too
low to mention in tafs. Toward morning, did tempo in some 4SM BR
at ASN/ANB/TOI but didn`t go any further across Central Alabama
and low level moisture will be limited.

08


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Look for only low to minimal rain chances for the remainder of the
weekend into the first half of this week. Temperatures are
expected to remain above normal through much of the week. There
are no fire weather concerns at this time although conditions are
starting to get dry.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     64  89  63  89  65 /  10  20  10  20  10
Anniston    66  88  65  88  67 /  10  20  10  20  10
Birmingham  69  90  68  91  70 /  10  20  10  20  10
Tuscaloosa  68  91  67  92  68 /  10  20  10  20  10
Calera      68  90  67  91  68 /  10  20  10  20  10
Auburn      68  89  68  89  70 /  10  20  10  20  10
Montgomery  69  92  68  93  70 /  10  20  10  20  10
Troy        68  92  69  92  69 /  10  20  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$



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