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Area Forecast Discussion

556
FXUS64 KBMX 311018
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
518 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

FRONT NUMBER TWO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH LATER TODAY WITH SOME
PRE-FRONTAL WEAK SHOWERS AT PRESENT AS THE MAIN RIDGE SINKS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL U.S. TODAY OUT OF CANADA. ALTHOUGH THE MOISTURE IS
MEAGER...THE RADAR IS NOTING A FEW SHOWERS HERE AND THERE WITH
THAT TREND TO CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATER TODAY...MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF THE STATE. THE MAIN STORY REMAINS THE
STRONG 1030 PLUS RIDGE THAT WILL BE BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TIGHT
GRADIENTS AND NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS ALABAMA. SO WILL DEFINITELY
NEED TO BUNDLE UP FOR TONIGHT AS THE TEMPERATURES AND WIND WILL
NOT BE A TREAT. WITH THE COLD TREND NOT ABATING...WILL ISSUE A
FREEZE WARNING FOR TONIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
LIVINGSTON...TO CENTREVILLE...TO WETUMPKA...TO LAFAYETTE.
CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE ANY BETTER FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE EAST OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND
GRADIENTS LIGHTEN WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LITTLE WIND...FROST WILL
ALSO BE AN ISSUE. SO WILL GO WITH A FREEZE WATCH (B/C FURTHER OUT
IN TIME) FOR SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING...BUT FOR ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA.

TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MODERATE WITH A VENGEANCE FOR MONDAY/TUESDAY
TIME FRAME AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS OVER ALABAMA SHIFTING TOWARD THE
ATLANTIC. BY THE LATER PART OF THE FORECAST...RAIN CHANCES RETURN
BY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM PUSHES INTO
THE STATE.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION ISSUES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP TONIGHT AS THE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO DRY UP ACROSS
THE AREA. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHERLY...INCREASING TO AROUND 10KTS
AFTER 18Z...THEN 15 TO 18 KTS BY 21Z NORTH AND 00Z SOUTH. WINDS REMAIN
BRISK THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     63  31  50  29  57 /  30  10  10   0   0
ANNISTON    64  31  50  30  56 /  20  10  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  64  32  51  30  57 /  20  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  67  33  53  31  59 /  10   0   0   0   0
CALERA      66  33  52  32  58 /  10  10   0   0   0
AUBURN      68  34  52  33  59 /  10  10   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  71  35  55  32  60 /  10   0   0   0   0
TROY        71  34  54  32  59 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM 10 PM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 9 AM SUNDAY
MORNING FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.

FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: BIBB...BLOUNT...CALHOUN...CHAMBERS...CHEROKEE...
CHILTON...CLAY...CLEBURNE...COOSA...ELMORE...ETOWAH...FAYETTE...
GREENE...HALE...JEFFERSON...LAMAR...MARION...PICKENS...
RANDOLPH...SHELBY...ST. CLAIR...SUMTER...TALLADEGA...
TALLAPOOSA...TUSCALOOSA...WALKER...WINSTON.

&&

$$

08/16





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