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Area Forecast Discussion

204
FXUS64 KBMX 060406 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1006 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ALL PRECIPITATION IS DONE FOR THE NIGHT. SOME CLOUD COVER STILL
LINGERS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING.
THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO
THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY UP SOME OVERNIGHT WITH TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENTS...WHICH WILL MAKE THINGS FEEL THAT MUCH COLDER.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL WITH THE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND
THE FRONT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS. ONLY A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO
OVERNIGHT LOWS WERE MADE AS THINGS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE.
UPDATE ALREADY OUT.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

LIGHT RAIN PUSHING TOWARDS MGM AND TOI SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE
AREA BY 04Z. CLEARING LINE IS INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND USED THE
18Z NAM FOR TIMING THE CEILINGS CLEARING OUT. NORTH WINDS CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 KTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...GENERALLY 10 KTS.

88

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 347 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

ARCTIC AIR - ONE...MODELS - ZERO. THE ARCTIC AIR WORKED IN MUCH
QUICKER AND COOLED THE AIR COLUMN ALOT MORE THAN ANY MODEL WAS
LOOKING AT. THUS THE ADDITIONAL SLEET AND SNOW THAT WAS OBSERVED.
THE OVERALL PRECIPITATION HAS SWITCHED TO GENERALLY ONE LINE
STRETCHING NORTHEASTWARD...SOUTH OF THE I-59 CORRIDOR. OVERALL THE
PRECIPITATION IS NOW WORKING INTO AN AIR MASS THAT IS NOW ABOVE
FREEZING AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH AND EAST. FOR THE MOST
PART WE WILL BE SEEING RAIN...WITH MIXED SLEET POCKETS THROUGH 6
PM. NO ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

THE BIG CONCERN NOW WILL BE THE TEMPERATURES NO LONGER INCREASING
ANY MORE FOR THE DAY AND THEN DROPPING OFF INTO THE TEENS AND LOW
20S AREA WIDE. THERE WILL BE LIKELY RE-FREEZING LATER THIS
EVENING.

BEHIND THIS LINE...DRIER AIR WORKS IN FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH ALONG
AN INCREASE IN POPS LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE DUE TO AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH. WILL
FEEL MORE LIKE SPRING AS WE WORK INTO THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE
FIRST THE WEEK. OVERALL WE WILL SEE INCREASING POPS THROUGH MID
WEEK.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     21  43  25  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    23  45  26  57  34 /  10   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  19  43  27  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  21  44  27  57  35 /   0   0   0   0  10
CALERA      22  45  28  58  35 /  10   0   0   0  10
AUBURN      28  49  31  61  38 /  10   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  27  50  29  61  37 /  10   0   0   0  10
TROY        28  50  31  61  39 /  10   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/88/16






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