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Area Forecast Discussion

199
FXUS64 KBMX 290249
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
949 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

LOOKS LIKE THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LARGELY IN THE
MIDDLE OF THE STATE IS STARTING TO WIND DOWN...EXCEPT FOR ONE
STRONGER CLUSTER SOUTHWEST OF SELMA HEADING NORTHWESTWARD. WILL
SCALE BACK THE POPS FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING. WILL KEEP THE
MENTION OF CHANCE POPS AGAIN LATER ON TONIGHT IN THE
SOUTHEAST...AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SWATH OF MOISTURE
ROTATING UP INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

QUITE A BIT OF ACTIVITY OUT THERE THIS EVENING WITH MOST OF IT
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TCL TO EET. EET WILL SEE A THUNDERSTORM
BEFORE 01Z AND TCL MAY SEE VCTS THROUGH 03Z. ELSEWHERE CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH 7 TO 8Z. LOOK FOR THE INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE TO RESULT IN A LOW MVFR/IFR DECK BETWEEN 8 TO 12Z
FROM EAST TO WEST AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. CLOUDS WILL IMPROVE
AND THEN THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN. BEST CHANCES WILL
BE AFTER 17Z...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-65.

16


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MOISTURE VALUES ARE SLOWLY RISING. SOME ISO/SCT CONVECTION IS
POSSIBLE IN THE EAST/SOUTHEAST TONIGHT WITH RAIN CHANCES
INCREASING FROM EAST TO WEST ON SATURDAY. NO FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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