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Area Forecast Discussion

312
FXUS64 KBMX 270236
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
936 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DID NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. CHANCE FOR ANY POP UP
SHOWERS ARE VERY SMALL BUT DID LEAVE A MENTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HAVE NOT ADDED FOG YET BUT THERE ARE
SOME LOW CLOUDS DEVELOPING AND COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG LATER ON
TOO.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING...BUT
NONETHELESS...SOME LOWER CLOUDS STILL FLOATING AROUND. AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR TWO COULD BE AROUND OVERNIGHT...BUT TOO SMALL A CHANCE
TO MENTION. SO GENERALLY VFR THROUGH 08-10Z. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AND OVERALL MOISTURE INCREASES AGAIN TOWARD SUNRISE.
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BE ACTIVE IN SPOTS AND AT SOME LEVELS...SO
CERTAINLY SOME CLOUDS. TOOK A MIXTURE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE AND
PERSISTENCE EVEN WITH LESSER MOISTURE. WENT WITH MVFR/IFR CEILINGS
MOST PLACES UNTIL 16Z WHEN VFR CONDITIONS RETURN. WILL MONITOR THE
POTENTIAL CLOUD DEVELOPMENT CLOSELY THIS EVENING TO DETERMINE IF
THERE MAY BE MORE OF A FOG THREAT.

AROUND A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY
AFTERNOON...AND ADDED VCTS FOR SEVERAL LOCATIONS. DO NOT EXPECT
THE COVERAGE TO BE AS WIDESPREAD AS THE PAST FEW DAYS.

75


&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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