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Area Forecast Discussion

811
FXUS64 KBMX 270909
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
409 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A weak upper level impulse will move around the western periphery
of the ridge centered off the east coast today. This feature will
lift through the Mississippi/Arkansas/Tenn area this afternoon and
be absorbed into a broad trough that will set up over the region that
will persist through the weekend. This will lead to above average
rain chances beginning today for the northwest and continuing
through Monday and Tuesday with all areas seeing some rainfall
during this timeframe. A range of temperatures are expected due to
cloud cover and precipitation with highs from the mid 80s to mid
90s.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Discussion.

A moist southerly flow overnight will likely result in low cigs
forming across central Alabama before sunrise Wednesday. MVFR
cigs already being reported at KMEI and KGZH. MVFR cigs will
likely impact all TAF sites by 11Z. The cigs should rise quickly
after 13z due to good mixing in the low levels. Cigs should rise
above 3000 feet agl by 15z and become scattered by 18z. Convection
will develop during heating of the day with better rain chances
west of I-65.

58/rose


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the next several days with highs in the 90s. Surface winds will be
rather light and generally from the south. Since surface dew
points are so high, critical fire weather thresholds are not
expected to be met with no watches or warnings anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     91  72  89  71  89 /  40  30  40  30  50
Anniston    92  72  90  72  91 /  30  30  20  20  40
Birmingham  91  74  89  74  90 /  40  40  40  30  40
Tuscaloosa  91  73  90  73  91 /  60  40  50  30  40
Calera      91  73  90  73  91 /  40  30  30  20  40
Auburn      91  73  92  74  92 /  20  20  20  20  20
Montgomery  93  74  95  75  95 /  30  30  20  20  30
Troy        91  72  92  73  92 /  30  30  20  20  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$



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