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Area Forecast Discussion

987
FXUS62 KFFC 210738
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
338 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHERN GA. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY AND SETTLE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA
BY TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND FRIDAY.

HI-RES MODELS KEEP CONDITIONS DRY...EVEN WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
TODAY. PWATS WILL REMAIN AOB 1 INCH TODAY...WITH DEEP LEVEL MOISTURE
HAVING BEEN SHUNTED TO THE SOUTH. THE HIGH RES MODELS ARE PROGGING A
SEABREEZE ALONG THE GULF COAST...BUT THE FEATURE LOOKS TO REMAIN
SOUTH OF THE CWFA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPS TODAY
AND TOMORROW.

NLISTEMAA


.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE DRY AS SURFACE HIGH BUILDS OVER
THE EASTERN US...AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SETS UP OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  WILL SEE SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE LATE SUNDAY
AND INTO MONDAY AS SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS INTO THE ATLANTIC AND RIPPLES
IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IMPACT PORTIONS OF WEST AND NORTH GEORGIA.
EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AS FAR AS ANCHORING THE UPPER
RIDGE JUST OFF THE GA COAST...WHICH MAY KEEP MUCH OF THE CONVECTION
TO OUR WEST...HOWEVER WITH INCREASING GULF MOISTURE TO TAP INTO
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN DIURNALLY DRIVEN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEEKS END.  GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES ARE CLOSE WITH ABOVE
NORMAL HIGHS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ATWELL


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 140 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015/

AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO ADD SOME MVFR CIGS TOWARDS DAWN. ANY
CIGS SHOULD CLEAR OUT SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE TO THE NW LATER
THIS AFTERNOON WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 20KT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  55  79  57 /  10   5   0   5
ATLANTA         79  56  79  60 /  10   0   0   0
BLAIRSVILLE     72  47  74  50 /  10   5   0   0
CARTERSVILLE    76  51  77  52 /  10   0   0   5
COLUMBUS        85  59  83  61 /  10   0   0   0
GAINESVILLE     79  55  77  58 /  10   0   0   0
MACON           87  57  82  58 /  10   0   0   0
ROME            76  52  77  52 /  10   0   0   0
PEACHTREE CITY  81  53  79  55 /  10   0   0   0
VIDALIA         91  63  84  61 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NLISTEMAA
LONG TERM....ATWELL
AVIATION...NLISTEMAA



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