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Area Forecast Discussion

189
FXUS62 KFFC 201757
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
157 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 752 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
CHILLY START TO THE PERIOD THIS MORNING WITH SOME OF COOLEST TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED...MANY AREAS LOOKING TO DIP INTO THE LOW 40S. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY GET LOWER WITH OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL
COOLING LACKING ANY CLOUD COVERAGE...EVEN THE CIRRUS FROM BEFORE.
COULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPOTTY AREAS OF FROST IN SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GA.

MODELS IN DECENT CONSENSUS WITH TIMING OF NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PUSHING INTO THE NORTH BY 00Z THIS EVENING AND WEAK SFC FRONT
TRAILING BEHIND. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE MOISTURE STARVED AND LACKING
GOOD LIFT SO HAVE KEPT AREA DRY BUT INCREASE SOME CLOUD COVERAGE IN
THE FAR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. NEXT SFC HIGH BUILDS IN FROM
THE NORTH AND ENHANCES THE GRADIENT WINDS FOR TUESDAY. RIDGING AND
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD LINGER AS THE UPPER TROUGH ENERGY CUTS OFF
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE BACK TO NEAR
NORMAL VALUES TODAY THRU TUES.

BAKER

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS WITH CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING OFFSHORE THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WHILE AT THE SURFACE AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
BRIDGES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH INFLUENCE ALL THE WAY SOUTH
THROUGH OUR AREA AND THE GULF COAST. AS STRONG UPPER HIGH BUILDS
OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY...LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN A
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL/HYBRID
SYSTEMS LATE IN THE PERIOD BUT FOR NOW WILL REMAIN WITH A DRY
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THE REGION. THERE ARE SOME FEW
TO SCT CLOUDS AROUND 3500 TO 4000FT BUT THEY ARE THINNING OUT.
WINDS SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WEST TO NW IN TO THE 5-10KT RANGE
TODAY AND INTO THE 6-12KT RANGE TUE. NO PRECIPITATION OR
RESTRICTIONS TO VSBSY EXPECTED.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  49  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
ATLANTA         72  54  74  49 /   0   0   0   0
BLAIRSVILLE     66  46  67  38 /   0   0   0   0
CARTERSVILLE    72  46  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS        74  53  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
GAINESVILLE     68  51  71  46 /   0   0   0   0
MACON           75  47  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
ROME            73  47  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
PEACHTREE CITY  72  47  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
VIDALIA         77  54  79  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...01





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