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Area Forecast Discussion

560
FXUS62 KFFC 240654
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
254 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 923 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014/

UPDATE...
MINIMAL CHANGES MADE TO THE NEAR TERM FORECAST GRIDS THIS EVENING...
MAINLY TO SKY COVER AS AMPLE CIRRUS CONTINUES SPILLING OVER THE
REGION. OVERALL SKY-COVER IS HIGH BUT STILL SOMEWHAT THIN AT TIMES.
ENOUGH CHANGES TO MERIT RE-RUNNING THE TEXT AND TABULAR FORECAST
PRODUCTS.

20

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 725 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE
WILL PUSH EAST OF THE CWA TONIGHT WHILE A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE
PUSHES ACROSS THE CWA ON FRIDAY...BRINGING WITH IT LITTLE IMPACT.
MAIN CHANGE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING...BUT WILL BE HIGH CLOUDS. AFTER THAT...CLOUDS SHOULD
DIMINISH INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AS WE TRANSITION FROM THE
UPPER RIDGE TO THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE...TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE A
FEW DEGREES WARMER. AS A RESULT...NO FROST IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
CWA TONIGHT. THIS WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPS ABOUT THREE TO FIVE DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY BUT STILL
PLEASANT WITH TEMPS IN THE 70S.

11

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...

17

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
/ISSUED 318 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014/
A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS WILL IMPACT THE CWFA THROUGH THE EXTENDED
FORECAST. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

THE ONLY REAL CHANGE IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST WAS TO ADD SLIGHT
CHANCE/CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. EXTENDED MODELS HAVE COME INTO A
LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT. QPF IS PROGGED TO BE VERY LIGHT AND LESS
THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AT THIS TIME. MODELS ARE ALSO PROGGING SOME
LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY ALONG THE FRONT...BUT WILL LEAVE OUT MENTION
OF THUNDER AT THIS TIME. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS.

OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF
THE MID-WEEK FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOCALIZED
MVFR OR LOWER VSBYS POSSIBLE...BUT OVERNIGHT HIGH CIRRUS SHOULD
PREVENT ANYTHING WIDESPREAD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY
NORTHWEST AT 6 KT OR LESS. BRIEF PERIODS OF VRB WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE MORNING.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          73  47  75  49 /   0   0   0   5
ATLANTA         72  52  75  53 /   0   0   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     69  41  70  47 /   0   0   0   5
CARTERSVILLE    72  43  75  49 /   0   0   0   5
COLUMBUS        75  50  78  50 /   0   0   0   5
GAINESVILLE     71  50  73  49 /   0   0   0   5
MACON           76  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   5
ROME            72  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   5
PEACHTREE CITY  72  43  76  47 /   0   0   0   5
VIDALIA         75  50  77  51 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...31





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