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Area Forecast Discussion

038
FXUS62 KFFC 220712
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
312 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VERY DRY AND COOL FORECAST ON TAP FOR THE SHORT TERM AS STRONG
RIDGING CONTINUES INTO THE CWA FROM THE NORTH ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF
A DEEPENING CUTOFF LOW IMPACTING NEW ENGLAND. BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOWING
CONTINUED EXTREMELY DRY PROFILES AND ANY HIND OF MOISTURE IS ONLY BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHERE WE MAY GET SOME CIRRUS.

MAIN CONCERN IS WITH FROST POTENTIAL THURSDAY MORNING AS SOME OF THE
COLDEST TEMPS OF THE SEASON LOOK TO BE REACHED WITH OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING...AFOREMENTIONED RIDGING...AND CALM TO LIGHT WINDS. LATEST
GUIDANCE HAS COME IN SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS ALSO. MID
30S LOOK TO BE POSSIBLE FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA ALONG WITH
LOW 30S POSSIBLE FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST GA. HAVE
INCLUDED PATCHY FROST MENTION FOR NOW...THOUGH TRENDS IN GUIDANCE
LATER TODAY WILL BE MONITORED FOR EXTENT OF POTENTIAL FROST ADVISORY
ISSUANCE.


BAKER


.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
CONTINUED DRY FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE LONG TERM...BUT TWO COLD
FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT GA DURING THE PERIOD. AN EARLY WEEKEND
COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY...BUT
PRECIPITATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. A SECOND COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE
PRODUCING SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT CHANCES
REMAIN TOO SMALL TO MENTION AT THIS TIME.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNINGS CURRENTLY HAVE THE COLDEST MIN TEMPS.
WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS...IF TEMPS ARE COLDER THEN
PATCHY/AREAS OF FROST MAY BE AN ISSUE FOR THE NORTHEAST GA MTNS.
HIGH TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA


&&



AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
WINDS NW TO NNW AT 4-7 KTS REDUCING TO LIGHT OR CALM WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. SOUTHERN SITES COULD BE CLOSER TO NORTH OR SLIGHTLY EAST OF
NORTH.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          68  40  71  45 /   0   0   0   5
ATLANTA         67  45  70  50 /   0   0   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     61  33  67  39 /   0   0   0   5
CARTERSVILLE    67  36  69  42 /   0   0   0   5
COLUMBUS        72  44  72  49 /   0   0   0   5
GAINESVILLE     66  42  68  48 /   0   0   0   5
MACON           72  38  72  43 /   0   0   0   5
ROME            67  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   5
PEACHTREE CITY  69  36  70  41 /   0   0   0   5
VIDALIA         71  46  73  48 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BAKER
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...BAKER





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