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Area Forecast Discussion

560
FXUS62 KFFC 020742
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL



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