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Area Forecast Discussion

596
FXUS62 KFFC 221922
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
322 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO NORTHWEST GA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE CWA THIS EVENING. WEAK DYNAMICS AND LIMITED MOISTURE WITH
THE FRONT...SO EXPECTING MAINLY SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER. WITH
DAYTIME HEATING...A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG MAINLY OVER CENTRAL
GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIDGE ALOFT BUILDING INTO THE
CWA AFTER 06Z SHOULD BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT
THE RAIN SHOULD BE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA AFTER 06Z. LOOKING FOR
DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME COOL AIR
ADVECTION EXPECTED TONIGHT AFTER FROPA BUT ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
COULD KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN FORECAST MAINLY CENTRAL ZONES.
OTHERWISE A BLEND OF MODEL TEMPERATURES LOOKS OKAY.

41


.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HAVE MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE POPS...MAINLY FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT/FRIDAY. DEEPEST MOISTURE RUNS OUT AHEAD OF THE INSTABILITY AND
THE FRONT...AND WHILE ALL DEEP MOISTURE HAS EXITED BY FRIDAY
MORNING...THERE COULD BE CONVECTION DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE CIN THAT FORMS OVER THE REGION AND
ALTHOUGH THE CIN IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...IT COULD BE ENOUGH TO
LIMIT ANY CONVECTION. WILL KEEP LOW END POPS GOING ON FRIDAY. NO
OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. MVFR CIGS SHOULD PREVAIL WITH SOME AREAS OF
IFR IN RAIN. GRADUAL IMPROVING AFTER 00Z. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE
SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL SITES LATE THIS EVENING...AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON PRECIP TIMING AND CIGS. HIGH CONFIDENCE
REMAINING ELEMENTS.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          54  77  48  78 /  20   0   0   5
ATLANTA         55  74  53  79 /  20   0   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     45  71  43  74 /  20   0   0   5
CARTERSVILLE    48  73  43  79 /  20   0   0   5
COLUMBUS        57  79  54  80 /  30   0   0   5
GAINESVILLE     53  74  50  75 /  20   0   0   5
MACON           55  80  49  82 /  30   0   0   5
ROME            49  74  43  80 /  20   0   5   5
PEACHTREE CITY  53  76  45  80 /  30   0   0   5
VIDALIA         59  81  58  83 /  30   0   0   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...41






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