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Area Forecast Discussion

258
FXUS62 KFFC 301758
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
158 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1047 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016/

SHORT TERM /Today through Tuesday/...

With subsidence on the west side of remnant tropical system...it
has been difficult to even generate a cu field at this point. As
temps rise through the mid and upper 80s this should change by
early afternoon and current grids have an excellent handle on
this.  No changes planned.

Deese

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 750 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016/

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 426 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016/

SHORT TERM /Today through Tuesday/...
As TD Bonnie is progged to track slowly NEWD straddling the Carolina
coastline...a quiet fcst period on tap as regime looks to be mainly
suppressed by weak ridging from the west. Have generally slight
chance pops for any diurnally driven isolated convection for both
this afternoon and Tuesday since we should have quite a bit of
daytime heating with some conditional instability indicated in
thermal profiles. Temps should again make it to near 90 in most
places especially with less eastern tier influence from outer
moisture bands as Bonnie moves away and under mostly clear skies
aside from FEW cu field or partial cirrus. Slightly better coverage
in cu field expected Tuesday as guidance indicated more mid level
moisture present.

Baker

LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Sunday/...
Bonnie expected to be making slow progress up the NC coast at the
beginning of the period. This will leave the forecast area in weak
ridging aloft with mainly diurnal convection through Thursday.
Upper trough deepening over the northeast states and into the
OH valley through the weekend should push a frontal boundary
southward into GA during the Friday/Saturday timeframe. The front
may stall across the forecast area...however further deepening of
the upper trough may push another front toward the TN valley area
at the end of the period. Chance or slight chance still looks okay
for most of the long term with somewhat better chances Friday
through the weekend.

41

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...

Continued VFR anticipated for this cycle with just some SCT
cumulus for the most part. Could make a case for BKN conditions
TUE afternoon but should mix out fairly quickly. Winds will be
shifty once again going from NW/NE today to east tonight and back
to NW on Tuesday.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
Medium on winds.
High on remaining elements.

Deese

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          89  65  88  67 /  20  10  20  20
Atlanta         89  69  88  70 /  20  10  20  10
Blairsville     84  60  83  62 /  20   5  30  30
Cartersville    89  64  89  66 /  20   5  20  10
Columbus        91  69  91  70 /  20   5  20  10
Gainesville     87  65  86  68 /  20  10  20  20
Macon           91  65  91  68 /  20  10  20  10
Rome            90  63  90  65 /  20   5  20  10
Peachtree City  90  63  89  65 /  20   5  20  10
Vidalia         88  69  90  70 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Deese
LONG TERM....31
AVIATION...Deese



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