ATLESFFFC/2004-06/Day29/19:28:39 FGUS72 KFFC 291928 ESFFFC GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077- 079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129- 133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-187- 193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233- 235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-281-283-285-289-291- 293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-319-011842- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 330 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2004 ...SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAS OCCURRED IN MUCH OF MIDDLE TO EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...CONTINUED WET CONDITIONS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF JULY WITH ISOLATED FLOODING POSSIBLE... SYNOPSIS... WET CONDITIONS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS NORTH AND MIDDLE GEORGIA DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE. RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH GENERALLY WAS IN THE FOUR TO TEN INCH RANGE WITH A FEW TOTALS TO NEAR ONE FOOT. FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH OF JUNE...RAINFALL WAS IN THE GENERAL RANGE OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OVER SIX INCHES. DURING THE LAST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE NWS ON JUNE 10TH...IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS WAS FORECAST AND RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS TO SIX INCHES WERE FORECAST. OVERALL...THIS IS WHAT HAS OCCURRED. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT HAS HELPED TO BRING A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THEREFORE...SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE ENDED ACROSS MOST OF NORTH AND MIDDLE GEORGIA...WITH LONG TERM MILD DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSISTING IN PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM ATHENS TO DUBLIN. ..................................................................... CLIMATE IMPACTS... HERE ARE THE BREAKDOWNS FOR JUNE RAINFALL THROUGH JUNE 28TH AND DEPARTURES FROM AVERAGE. CITY RAINFALL NORMAL JUNE DEP YEARLY DEP 2 WEEK CHANGE ATLANTA 5.16 3.34 +1.82 -6.96 +3.05 ATHENS 3.67 3.66 +0.01 -11.20 -0.06 COLUMBUS 5.18 3.23 +1.95 -5.95 +2.48 MACON 4.03 3.28 +0.75 -5.03 +1.71 ..................................................................... HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS... CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ARE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE ON MOST OF THE BIG LAKES. MOST LAKES HAVE SHOWN GAINS IN THE LAST 2 WEEKS. LAKE SUMMER POOL CURRENT LAKE LEVEL 2 WEEK CHANGE ALLATOONA 840 840.5 +1.8 CARTERS LAKE 1074 1074.5 +6.2 LAKE HARTWELL 660 658.6 +0.6 LAKE LANIER 1071 1071.6 +0.7 THURMOND LAKE 330 328.5 +0.5 WEST POINT 635 635.7 +2.3 CURRENT RIVER FLOWS HAVE IMPROVED TO 50 TO 100 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA. ..................................................................... FIRE DANGER... FIRE DANGER HAS FALLEN TO LOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT LOW TO MODERATE IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED THE NEXT TWO WEEKS...LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE FIRE DANGER. ..................................................................... RESTRICTIONS... STATEWIDE WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN USE. ODD NUMBERED HOUSES CAN WATER ANYTIME OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY...THURSDAY AND SUNDAY. EVEN NUMBERED HOUSES CAN WATER ANYTIME OF DAY ON MONDAY...WEDNESDAY...AND SATURDAY. NO WATERING IS PERMITTED ON FRIDAYS. LOCAL COMMUNITIES CAN ALSO IMPOSE ADDITIONAL RESTRICTIONS TO THE STATE ONES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WWW.GEORGIADROUGHT.ORG. ..................................................................... RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... RAINFALL THROUGH MIDDLE JULY IS FORECAST TO AVERAGE TWO TO FOUR INCHES ACROSS NORTH AND MIDDLE GEORGIA. ISOLATED TOTALS AT OR ABOVE SIX INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SMALL SCALE FLOODING. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE CLOSE TO AVERAGE. HIGH TEMPERATURES TYPICALLY AVERAGE 85 TO 90 IN NORTH GEORGIA TO THE LOWER 90S IN MIDDLE GEORGIA. LOW TEMPERATURES TYPICALLY AVERAGE 65 TO 70 IN NORTH GEORGIA TO THE LOWER 70S IN MIDDLE GEORGIA. TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL OUTLOOK THROUGH AUGUST... THE OUTLOOK FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CALLS FOR AVERAGE TO ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND AVERAGE RAINFALL THROUGH AUGUST. IF THE WET PATTERN CONTINUES...IT IS POSSIBLE ALL DROUGHT COULD END IN GEORGIA BY JULY OR AUGUST. ..................................................................... YOU CAN KEEP UP-TO-DATE ON THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS GEORGIA BY VISITING OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON GEORGIA. SELECT THE DROUGHT ITEM UNDER NEWS HEADLINES. THIS DATA WAS FURNISHED BY THE COOPERATION OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA...GEORGIA EPD...AND THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS. CURRENT FIRE DANGER WAS PROVIDED BY THE GEORGIA FORESTRY COMMISSION. THE NEXT HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED WHEN HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY. $$ NOEL - HYDROLOGIST