NM Fire Weather Zone 111

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
219 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY 
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON BUT ARE FINALLY 
CATCHING UP AS OF 2 PM. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER EAST SLOPE
LOCATIONS INTO PART OF THE NIGHT...WHICH WILL REDUCE RH RECOVERY.
BUT WITH SUCH DRY AIR IN PLACE RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR JUST 
ABOUT EVERYWHERE TONIGHT.

A STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW...
BRINGING STRONGER WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BUT SLIGHTLY COOLER 
TEMPERATURES. CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST 
LOWLAND AREAS...BUT THE COOLER TEMPS WILL RESULT IN HIGHER RH 
AND THIS WILL KEEP HIGHER ELEVATIONS OUT OF CRITERIA...INCLUDING
THE GILA AND THE SACRAMENTOS ABOVE 7500 FEET. 

BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT WILL DROP TEMPERATURES A FEW 
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR TUESDAY ALONG WITH BREEZY EAST WINDS.
LIGHTER WINDS WILL PREVAIL WED-THU WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY
FLOW ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM.  PRECIP
CHANCES WILL RAMP UP FRI NIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND INCLUDING
LOWLAND AREAS.


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NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
 SOUTHERN DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
219 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-40. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 40 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 
                    MIDNIGHT. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 41 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........4. 

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT) UNTIL 1100...THEN 
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT). PATCHY BLOWING 
                    DUST AFTER 1100. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-73. 
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........11-15 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......6 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 26 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH WITH 
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 40 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........2. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (292500 KNOT-FT). 

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-36. 
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. 20-FT WINDS NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 
                    TO AROUND 35 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 29 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........2. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70. 
MIN HUMIDITY........16-20 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 
                    MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 13 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (88900 KNOT-FT). 

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH
14 TO 19%. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
40. HIGHS NEAR 70. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 15 TO
20%. 


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