000
FGUS72 KTAE 051755 CCA
ESFTAE
ALC031-045-061-067-069-FLC005-013-029-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-
073-077-079-123-129-131-133-GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-
095-099-131-155-173-177-185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-
061800-

FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
115 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005

...TROPICAL STORM CINDY...INLAND HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OUTLOOK...

TROPICAL STORM CINDY IS PREDICTED TO MOVE NORTH...MAKING LANDFALL 
ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT. CINDY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO 
BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST  
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE 
OVERALL FLOW PATTERN HAS ALREADY BEEN ENHANCED ACROSS THE EASTERN 
GULF OF MEXICO RESULTING IN SCATTERED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS 
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.

PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS 
ACCUMULATED THE PAST TWO WEEKS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...RESULTING IN 
MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS. MANY OF THE AREA RIVERS ARE RUNNING ABOVE 
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

FORECAST CONDITIONS...

...THOSE RIVERS CURRENTLY RUNNING HIGH CAN HANDLE THREE TO FOUR 
INCHES OF BASIN WIDE AVERAGE RAINFALL BEFORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING 
WILL OCCUR. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED INTENSE RAINFALL CAN GENERATE SHARP 
LOCAL RISES NOT REFLECTED IN LONG RANGE RIVER FORECASTS.  

...LOCALLY HEAVY TROPICAL RAINFALL CAN GENERATE FLOODING IN SMALL 
CREEKS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS. THESE LOCALIZED AMOUNTS CAN EASILY 
REACH THREE TO FIVE INCHES OR MORE AND GENERATE FLOODING.

THOUGH IT IS EARLY TO PRECISELY PREDICT WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL 
OCCUR WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY...PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS INDICATE 
THAT RIVERS...SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS AND URBANIZED LOCATIONS IN OUR 
AREA ARE WET AND ARE MUCH MORE RESPONSIVE THAN NORMAL TO RAINFALL.

A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST 
ALABAMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

8-JAMSKI