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FGUS72 KTAE 211541
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ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
212330-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1141 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2009 /1041 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2009/

...LOCALIZED LAND AND STREAM FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH
SATURDAY...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE
SLOWLY WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH THERE
ARE SOME MODEL INCONSISTENCIES...THE FAVORED TRACK HAS THIS LOW
MAKING LANDFALL WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA SATURDAY EVENING. AS
IT MOVES NORTHWEST...EXPECT INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF AND
ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY...AND THEN WEST OF THE RIVER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ROTATING AROUND THIS LOW WHICH WILL TRAVERSE
WESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD BRINGING HEAVY RAIN.

MODEL GUIDANCE ESTIMATES RAIN TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT LOCALLY FROM
ONE TO TWO INCHES EASTERN COUNTIES...TWO TO THREE INCHES CENTRAL
COUNTIES AND AROUND THREE TO FOUR INCHES WESTERN COUNTIES. BECAUSE
GROUNDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA ARE ALREADY NEAR OR AT
SATURATION...ADDITIONAL RAIN COULD GENERATE AT LEAST MINOR
FLOODING OF STREAMS...STREETS AND ROADS. ALTHOUGH NO RIVERS ARE AT
OR CLOSE TO FLOODING STAGE... ADDITIONAL RAIN COULD RAISE SOME
RIVERS LEVELS TO NEAR FLASH FLOOD STAGE.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER
INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF NECESSARY. PLEASE
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET IN CASE 
FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NECESSARY.

$$

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