000 FGUS72 KTAE 052129 ESFTAE ALC031-045-061-067-069-FLC005-013-029-037-039-045-059-063-065-067- 073-077-079-123-129-131-133-GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087- 095-099-131-155-173-177-185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321- 061500- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 436 PM EDT TUE APR 5 2005 ...MORE HEAVY RAIN WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEK AND AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK...ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS LIKELY... OVER THE PAST THREE WEEKS...HEAVY SPRING RAINS HAVE DUMPED WIDESPREAD 8 TO 11 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. THE LAST RAIN EVENT DUMPED 10 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. RIVERS ARE SWOLLEN...SMALL CREEKS ARE RUNNING HIGH...AND MANY AREAS ARE EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT AREAL FLOODING. THE MOST SERIOUSLY AFFECTED AREAS INCLUDE THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE...FLINT...SPRING CREEK IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...OCHLOCKONEE RIVER AND THE APALACHICOLA RIVER BASINS PRIMARILY NEAR WEWAHITCHKA. THE SUWANNEE RIVER CONTINUES TO RISE FROM UPSTREAM WATER...AND WATER HAS BACKED INTO THE SANTA FE RIVER GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THERE. THE MOST DAMAGE FROM FLOODING HAS OCCURRED ON MUCKALEE CREEK NEAR LEESBURG GEORGIA AND NEAR WEWAHTICHKA FLORIDA AROUND THE CHIPOLA...APALACHICOLA...DEAD LAKES DRAINAGES IN THE TALLAHASSEE WARNING AREA. A VERY WET SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BRING A GENERAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ON THURSDAY 7 APRIL. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DROP AS MUCH AS 3 OR 4 INCHES IN SMALLER AREAS. LONGER RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING A SIMILAR SYSTEM TO BRING MORE RAINFALL TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY 12 APRIL. ADDITIONAL AND CONTINUED FLOODING MAY OCCUR BECAUSE THE GROUND IS SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS. LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND SMALL STREAMS COULD SWELL TO SMALL RAGING STREAMS OF WATER IN HILLY AREAS. RIVERS WHICH ARE ALREADY AT FLOOD OR NEAR FLOOD WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE RENEWED FLOODING. THOSE AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL COULD SEE RIVER CRESTS EXCEEDING THE LEVELS FROM THE MOST RECENT EVENT. THIS NEXT SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO HAVE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WHICH MAY CAUSE HIGHER TIDES AND WATER LEVELS BACKING INTO THE APALACHICOLA RIVER INTO THE FLOODED AREAS AROUND WEWAHTICHKA. CONSEQUENTLY...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT RIVER AND WATER LEVELS IN THE WEWAHITCHKA AREA COULD RISE HIGHER THAN WOULD BE EXPECTED BASED ON FORECASTS GIVEN FOR THE BLOUNTSTOWN AREA. THE HAZARDOUS AREA WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK AND NEXT. ANOTHER SOURCE OF CURRENT HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION FOR THIS AREA IS THROUGH OUR WEB PAGE AT: HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CGI-BIN/AHPS.CGI?TAE THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT OUR WEB PAGE AT: HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE 52-LANIER $$