000
FGUS72 KTAE 251354
ESFTAE
ALC031-045-061-067-069-FLC013-029-037-039-045-047-059-063-065-067-073-075-077- 
079-121-123-129-131-133-GAC007-061-087-095-099-131-177-185-201-205-253-273-275- 
307-261354-
HYROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
950 AM EDT FRI MAR 25 2009

...POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT ON TAP THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS. A NE-SW ORIENTED COLD FRONT 
WILL BECOME STATIONARY AND MORE WEST TO EAST ALIGNED LATER TODAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND GEORGIA. THE LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM SECTOR...ALLOWING MOIST GULF AIR
TO MOVE NORTH HELPING TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WITH THE STATIONARY NATURE OF 
THIS FRONT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN REMAINS POSSIBLE...TODAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY WHEN THE
FRONT SAGS FURTHER SOUTH. THE FOCUS WILL BE THOSE AREAS CLOSEST TO THE FRONT...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
AND THE NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES OF GEORGIA. THIS FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATE 
THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY EARLY FRIDAY PROVIDING A BRIEF REPRIEVE IN RAIN. 

THEN...A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH LATER TODAY WILL BE DRAGGED SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA ON SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT..A SQUALL LINE WILL RACE ACROSS THE FORECAST 
AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED...INITIALLY AHEAD AND ALONG THE SQUALL LINE AND
THEN LATER IN THE DAY...ASSOCIATED WITH THE PARENT FRONT.     
     
THE FIVE DAY HPC FORECAST SHOWS THE POSSIBILITY OF AS MUCH AS 9 INCHES OF RAIN JUST TO
OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST ACROSS OUR LOCAL AREA BUT ENOUGH TO
GENERATE LOCAL...AND POSSIBLY WIDESPREAD FLOODING.    

SIGNIFICANT INCREASES TO FLOWS ARE LIKELY ON THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY 
WORK DOWN INTO THE APALACHICOLA RIVER OVER THE NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH IT IS TO EARLY TO KNOW
WITH CERTAINTY...THE BASINS AT MOST RISK FOR RAPID RISES WILL BE THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE,
CHATTAHOOCHEE, FLINT, APALACHICOLA AND THE OCHLOCKONEE BASINS. 

WE WILL MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING PRODUCTS AND A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF LOCAL AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.   

$$

BLOCK