000 FGUS74 KLZK 291420 ESFLZK ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-039-041-043-045-047- 049-051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-095-097- 099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-137-141-145- 147-149-021200- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 900 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2011 ...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... ...MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING LIKELY TO CONTINUE... SYNOPSIS... RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. THE BLACK RIVER IS CRESTING...WHILE THE LOWER WHITE RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO CREST IN THE COMING DAYS...WITH THE UPPER OUACHITA RIVERS CONTINUING TO RISE BEFORE CRESTING SOMETIME NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE...A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NATURAL STATE FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A CONCERN LATER THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO STALL OUT JUST SOUTH OF ARKANSAS LATE IN THE WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TRACK ALONG THE FRONT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. MOST LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT TO SEE BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY UP TO FIVE INCHES IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. THE AXIS FOR HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE IN A LINE FROM ARKADELPHIA TO LITTLE ROCK TO JONESBORO. WITH MUCH OF THE STATE ALREADY EXPERIENCING ONGOING FLOODING PROBLEMS...ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD BE A MAJOR CONCERN. SOILS ARE ALREADY SATURATED...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO THE RAPID RUNOFF OF ANY HEAVY RAIN. FLOOD OR FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED AS APPROPRIATE. REMEMBER...DRIVING INTO FLOODED AREAS CAN BE FATAL. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT: HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION. QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS MAY BE DIRECTED TO... TABITHA CLARKE SERVICE HYDROLOGIST NWS LITTLE ROCK AR 501-834-0308 TABITHA.CLARKE@NOAA.GOV $$ 61