000 FGUS74 KLZK 251259 ESFLZK ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-039-041-043-045-047- 049-051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-095-097- 099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-137-141-145- 147-149-280000- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 800 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING LIKELY... SYNOPSIS... THE VERY ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS ARKANSAS. THE PATTERN WILL FEATURE A WOBBLING FRONT AND TWO SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEMS ARRIVING TODAY OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WITH SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE SURROUNDING THE FRONT...THIS WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN...FLASH FLOODING AND CONTINUED RIVER FLOODING. OVERALL...TWO TO MORE THAN SIX INCHES OF RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE AXIS FOR HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE IN A LINE FROM CONWAY TO SEARCY TO MEMPHIS. UPSTREAM OF THE LITTLE ROCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE WEEKEND WERE ANYWHERE FROM EIGHT TO OVER TEN INCHES. AREAS UPSTREAM OF THE BLACK RIVERS WERE IN THE FIVE TO EIGHT INCH RANGE. THESE AREAS ARE CURRENTLY IN MINOR TO MODERATE FLOOD CATEGORIES. THIS INCLUDES AREAS ALONG THE BUFFALO...SPRING...BLACK...WHITE...AND CACHE RIVER. WITH AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO SIX INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS...THERE WILL BE AN ENHANCED CONCERN IN THE WHITE RIVER BASIN. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THE SWOLLEN RIVERS. PORTIONS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER WEST OF LITTLE ROCK WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE A RISE...WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. RECOMMENDATIONS... PERSONS WITH LIVESTOCK AND PROPERTY ALONG THE WATERWAYS OF THE WHITE RIVER BASIN IN ARKANSAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION. LOW LYING ROADWAYS COULD BECOME FLOODED. REMEMBER...DRIVING INTO FLOODED AREAS CAN BE FATAL. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT: HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION. QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS MAY BE DIRECTED TO... TABITHA CLARKE SERVICE HYDROLOGIST NWS LITTLE ROCK AR 501-834-0308 TABITHA.CLARKE@NOAA.GOV $$ 61