000
FGUS74 KLZK 191253
ESFLZK
ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-039-041-043-045-047- 
049-051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-095-097- 
099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-137-141-145-
147-149-211800-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
700 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED 8 INCHES OF RAIN THIS WEEK 
WOULD LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING...

BOTH RIVER FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY THIS 
WEEK...MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS. A LARGE UPPER 
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS 
AND INITIATE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS BEGINNING 
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS IN THIS AREA WILL BE THREE TO SIX INCHES...WITH LOCALLY 
HIGHER AMOUNTS. SOME ISOLATED AREAS COULD RECEIVE AROUND 8 INCHES 
OF RAIN OVER THIS 2 DAY PERIOD.

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE INITIAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY NEAR
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND IN AREAS 
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL BE SLOWER TO RISE...BUT 
FLOODING OF THESE LARGER RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

TRIBUTARIES ALONG THE ARKANSAS AND OUACHITA SYSTEMS WILL BE AT THE 
GREATEST RISK AND NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS THEY WILL BE 
QUICKER TO RISE DUE TO THE TERRAIN IN THIS PORTION OF THE STATE. 
THIS INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE MULBERRY...PETIT JEAN...AND 
FOURCHE LAFAVE IN THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN...THE LITTLE 
MISSOURI...AND CADDO RIVER IN THE OUACHITA RIVER BASIN AND ALSO THE 
BUFFALO RIVER IN THE WHITE RIVER BASIN. 

MUCH OF ARKANSAS IS ON SPRING BREAK THIS WEEK...AND RECREATION 
ACTIVITIES ARE POPULAR ALONG THESE RIVERS. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD 
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY DUE TO THE IMPACT 
OF POSSIBLE FLOODING RAINS.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS 
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK

RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE 
RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION.

$$

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