000
FGUS74 KLZK 080951
ESFLZK
ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-039-041-043-045-047- 
049-051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-095-097- 
099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-137-141-145-
147-149-091100-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
415 AM CST THU MAR 08 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND AGAIN THIS 
WEEKEND...

SYNOPSIS...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY. 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH 
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE 
STATE. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE 
AREAS...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS. 

THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE SAGGING TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT...WITH ONE TO 
TWO INCHES OF RAIN AND LOCALLY UP TO THREE INCHES IN CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.  

ANY FLOODING CONCERNS WITH THIS INITIAL ROUND OF PRECIPITATION WILL 
BE LOCALIZED IN NATURE...AS THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS HAVE BEEN 
RELATIVELY DRY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT 
OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH RAINFALL DIMINISHING. 

THE FRONT WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM 
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT TO 
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...WITH ONE TO THREE INCH AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. 

GIVEN THIS MUCH RAIN ON A NEARLY SATURATED GROUND WILL RAISE THE 
CONCERN FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. AREA RIVERS AND 
STREAMS IN THE OUACHITA...LOWER ARKANSAS...AND LOWER WHITE RIVER 
BASIN WILL BE THE MOST VULNERABLE DURING THIS EVENT...WITH MINOR TO 
MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE.

SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE DETAILS OF THIS FORECAST. 
EMERGENCY MANAGERS...MEDIA...AND ALL PEOPLE LIVING IN OR VISITING 
THE AREA SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO UPDATED FORECASTS FOR THE 
POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. 

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS 
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK

RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE 
RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION.

$$

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