000 FGUS74 KLZK 071046 ESFLZK ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-039-041-043-045-047- 049-051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-095-097- 099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-137-141-145- 147-149-070000- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CST WED MAR 07 2012 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... SYNOPSIS... DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS. ANY FLOODING CONCERNS WITH THIS INITIAL ROUND WOULD BE LOCALIZED IN NATURE...AS THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY DRY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH RAINFALL DIMINISHING. HOWEVER...THE FRONT WILL RETURN NORTH ON SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN OVERSPREADING THE STATE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES POSSIBLE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. GIVEN THIS MUCH RAIN...ON TOP OF WHAT WILL ALREADY BE SATURATED GROUND...FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE OUACHITA...LOWER ARKANSAS...AND LOWER WHITE RIVER BASIN WILL BE THE MOST THREATENED DURING THIS EVENT...WITH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE. SOME UNCERTAINTY DOES STILL EXIST WITH THE DETAILS OF THIS FORECAST. SMALL VARIATIONS IN THE LOCATIONS OF FRONTS AND OTHER FEATURES CAN RESULT IN LARGE IMPACTS ON WHICH AREAS SEE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION OCCURS. EMERGENCY MANAGERS...MEDIA...AND ALL PEOPLE LIVING IN OR VISITING THE AREA SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO UPDATED FORECASTS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. REMEMBER...DRIVING INTO FLOODED AREAS CAN BE FATAL. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT: HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION. $$ 57/63