000
WTUS84 KCRP 161008
HLSCRP
GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ242>247-161615-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
508 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2007

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST... 

...TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS MORNING
ALONG PADRE ISLAND NATIONAL SEASHORE... 

...NEW INFORMATION... 

TROPICAL STORM ERIN CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND 
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL
LATER THIS MORNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED... 

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN BY THE RESIDENTS OF
ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES...REFUGIO AND SAN PATRICIO
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS... 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAFFIN BAY TO
PORT O'CONNOR FOR TODAY.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BEE...
GOLIAD...VICTORIA...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...
REFUGIO AND CALHOUN COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT TODAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...STORM INFORMATION... 

AT 400 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI. ERIN WAS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AROUND 12 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL RESULT IN THE CENTER OF ERIN
MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE PADRE ISLAND NATIONAL SEASHORE AROUND
900 AM CDT THIS MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING... 

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
TOTALS UP TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
BEND...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI. LESSER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED SOUTH AND WEST OF CORPUS CHRISTI. HEAVY RAIN ON THE
NORTHERN SIDE OF ERIN WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND TOWARDS THE
COASTAL BEND EARLY THIS MORNING. HEAVY RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY
OVERSPREAD MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AS ERIN PUSHES INLAND. THE
THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS AS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH ERIN AFFECTS SOUTH TEXAS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... 

TIDES WERE CURRENTLY RUNNING AROUND 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG
THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. AS ERIN PUSHES ASHORE LATER THIS
MORNING...THE TIDES WILL AVERAGE 1.5 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT
THE TIME OF LANDFALL. MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. HIGH TIDE AT PORT ARANSAS WILL
BE THIS MORNING AT 643 AM CDT. HIGH TIDE AT PORT O'CONNOR WILL BE
THIS MORNING AT 1004 AM CDT. NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED.

...WINDS... 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH. SOME MINOR STRENGTHENING
IS EXPECTED BEFORE ERIN MAKES LANDFALL THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED
WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A SMALL AREA JUST TO THE
NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN SQUALLS THAT PUSH INLAND
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THESE SQUALLS CONTAINING
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE MOST PREVALENT ALONG
COASTAL AREAS BETWEEN 700 AM CDT AND 100 PM CDT TODAY.

...TORNADOES... 

AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SOME OF THE STRONGER
SQUALLS THAT AFFECT ARANSAS...CALHOUN... REFUGIO...GOLIAD AND
VICTORIA COUNTIES. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT WOULD BE VERY
SHORT-LIVED AND OF A WEAK NATURE.

...NEXT UPDATE... 

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 800 AM CDT.

$$

TINSLEY