000
FGUS75 KABQ 241817 CCA
ESFABQ
NMC027-251800-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1216 PM MDT THU AUG 24 2006

...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO RETURNING BY LATE 
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL
INCREASE AGAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.  ALTHOUGH HEAVY 
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER OTHER AREAS OF NEW MEXICO...GREATEST 
CONCERN IS OVER LINCOLN AND OTERO COUNTIES WHERE LAKES...SMALL 
RESERVOIRS...AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY AT HIGH LEVELS.  THE RUIDOSO 
AREA HAS ALREADY SEEN GENERALLY 10 TO 14 INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING 
THE MONTH OF AUGUST...WHICH IS 300 TO 400 PERCENT OF NORMAL.  WATER 
MANAGERS OPERATING CONTROLLABLE SYSTEMS IN THESE AREAS ARE 
ENCOURAGED TO CONSIDER ALLOWING ENOUGH WATER RELEASES FROM SYSTEMS 
TO ALLOW FOR SOME STORAGE OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND...ANOTHER FETCH OF DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED 
WITH DISTURBANCES IN THE TROPICS WILL COMBINE FORCES WITH A COLD 
FRONT THAT WILL ENTER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON SUNDAY.  THIS FRONT 
WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD OVER THE STATE...PRODUCING LOW 
LEVEL WINDS THAT WILL HELP CREATE HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ESPECIALLY ALONG 
THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS IN SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO.  
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL 
APPEARS TO BE FROM LATE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

$$

LISTEN FOR ADDITIONAL DAILY INFORMATION AND UPDATES ON THIS
DEVELOPING HEAVY RAIN SITUATION. THIS HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK AND THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICES IN ALBUQUERQUE AND EL PASO ARE AVAILABLE AT THESE WEB
SITES...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABQ  AND    WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/EPZ

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