000 FNUS55 KTWC 221309 FWFTWC FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 610 AM MST THU MAY 22 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR COCHISE COUNTY... .DISCUSSION...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL RESULT IN YET ANOTHER VERY WINDY DAY ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA TODAY. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA TODAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR JUST BELOW 15 PERCENT IN COCHISE COUNTY. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATING HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR COCHISE COUNTY IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148. AZZ146-222215- ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146 NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER- APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC- 610 AM MST THU MAY 22 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........63 TO 73 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........48 TO 63 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 18 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........15 TO 26 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........26 TO 37 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 15 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WINDY. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........50 PCT. LAL......................3. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............6765 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 19 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (128535 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........47 TO 58 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........33 TO 47 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........48 TO 63 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........63 TO 79 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 24 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........60 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER..............CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........60 TO 70 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........44 TO 60 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 4 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........26 TO 38 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........38 TO 49 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 11 TO 12 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........60 PCT. LAL......................3. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............5217 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 26 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (135642 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 30 TO 51. HIGHS 53 TO 68. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 31 TO 46 PCT. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 31 TO 52. HIGHS 63 TO 76. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 31 PCT. .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 34 TO 54. HIGHS 67 TO 83. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 9 TO 21 PCT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 35 TO 56. HIGHS 69 TO 87. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38 TO 58. HIGHS 71 TO 89. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 146 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ147-222215- ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147 SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY- TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC- 610 AM MST THU MAY 22 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDY WITH AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. MAX TEMPERATURE..........70 TO 85 DEGS. 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 13 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY.............17 TO 27 PCT. 24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 9 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WINDY. SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............9644 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 21 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (202524 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE..........52 TO 61 DEGS. 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 DEGS. MAX HUMIDITY.............50 TO 60 PCT. 24 HR TREND...........UP 23 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE..........64 TO 76 DEGS. 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 TO 9 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY.............30 TO 40 PCT. 24 HR TREND...........UP 13 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WINDY. SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........50 PCT. LAL......................3. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............6636 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 32 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (212352 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 49 TO 58. HIGHS 68 TO 82. SOUTH WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 30 TO 40 PCT. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 50 TO 59. HIGHS 79 TO 93. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 20 TO 30 PCT. .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54 TO 64. HIGHS 82 TO 97. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 12 TO 22 PCT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57 TO 65. HIGHS 85 TO 100. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60 TO 68. HIGHS 87 TO 102. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 147 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ148-222215- ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148 GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/ SAFFORD BLM/TDC- 610 AM MST THU MAY 22 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR COCHISE COUNTY... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDY WITH AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........69 TO 82 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........48 TO 69 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 15 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........14 TO 20 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........20 TO 31 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 12 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WINDY. SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 TO 50 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............10590 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 23 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (243570 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........37 TO 50 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 DEGS. MAX HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........39 TO 50 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........50 TO 61 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 10 TO 21 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WINDY. SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........65 TO 75 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........47 TO 65 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 TO 7 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........23 TO 31 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........31 TO 43 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 9 TO 12 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WINDY. SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. LAL......................3. HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............5975 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 33 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (197175 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 33 TO 55. HIGHS 54 TO 81. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 25 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 26 TO 41 PCT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38 TO 57. HIGHS 62 TO 89. SOUTH WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 31 PCT. .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42 TO 61. HIGHS 66 TO 93. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 8 TO 23 PCT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47 TO 63. HIGHS 69 TO 96. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50 TO 65. HIGHS 71 TO 98. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 148 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON