200 FXUS62 KTBW 191300 AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 900 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013 .UPDATE... ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY WITH PREVAILING SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FLOW...ENHANCED BY AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN ONGOING JUST OFF THE COAST AND EXPECT THESE TO PUSH INLAND WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY...ESPECIALLY WHEN THE WEST COAST AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZES MEET IN THE INTERIOR SOUTHERN CWA. ACROSS THE NORTH...FROM PASCO TO LEVY...THE WESTERLY FLOW WILL HAVE A BETTER PUSH AND EXPECT THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION TO EXIT TO THE EAST. WILL KEEP THE SCATTERED WORDING BUT LOWER POPS TO 30 PERCENT. UPDATES OUT BY 930 AM. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE TERMINALS TODAY. SOME SCATTERED STORMS MAY CAUSE BRIEF TEMPO MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS INLAND AND SOUTHERN TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT HAVE KEPT AT VCTS FOR THIS PACKAGE. && .MARINE... RIDGE AXIS ACROSS SOUTHERN FL KEEPS WINDS SW OR WEST AT 15 KNOTS OR LESS...WITH SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NEXT FORECAST OUT AROUND 10 AM WITH LITTLE CHANGE. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ UPDATE/MARINE...09/RUDE AVIATION...24/COLSON