000
FXUS64 KSJT 230532
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1132 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

.DISCUSSION...

SEE BELOW FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...

THE FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE 00Z FORECAST.
THE NAM MODEL BOUNDARY LAYER RH PROGS APPEAR TOO DRY FOR
WIDESPREAD STRATUS DEVELOPMENT AND THE MOIST LAYER IS VERY SHALLOW
AND NOT AS SATURATED AS LAST NIGHT NEAR THE SURFACE. SO WILL
CONTINUE WITH A LIGHT MVFR FOG MENTION IN ALL THE TAFS EXCEPT
KABI. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE AT KJCT AND KBBD TOWARD 12Z WHEN THE
NAM FORECASTS THE TYPICAL STRATUS FORMATION ON THE ESCARPMENT AND
SPREADS IT NORTH AND EAST. STILL NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO GO WITH A
LOW CIG AND WILL STAY WITH CONSERVATIVE SCT CLOUD DECK. LOW LVL
MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE MORE AGGRESSIVE AFT 00Z MONDAY NIGHT JUST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

LACY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE  43  77  43  62  34 /   0   0  10  10   0 
SAN ANGELO  35  79  43  61  32 /   0   0  10  10   0 
JUNCTION  40  75  45  67  30 /   0   0  20  20   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$