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FLUS44 KSHV 061726
HWOSHV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-071100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1200 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SPREAD EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...ADJACENT
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND NORTHEAST TEXAS TODAY...JUST AHEAD OF A
STRONG UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. THESE SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN SHIFT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER
WILL LIMIT SURFACE HEATING OVER EAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
ADJACENT SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN LOWER
SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER IN
THIS MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT COULD ENHANCE THE INSTABILITY...AND
THUS RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THESE AREAS. SHOULD ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS. IN ADDITION...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ACCOMPANY THE
STRONG STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAINLY WEST OF AN EL DORADO
ARKANSAS...TO HOMER AND MANSFIELD LOUISIANA LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM A HALF INCH...TO TWO INCHES BEFORE
THE RAIN DIMINISHES FROM WEST TO EAST.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION TUESDAY MORNING...ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST LATE IN THE
DAY...AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR SPREADS SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT.
WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR
40 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THE STRONGER STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SPOTTER GROUPS...HAM RADIO
OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE
WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

$$

VII