000
FXUS64 KSHV 090348
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
945 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009

.DISCUSSION...
ATMOSPHERE WAS STILL DRY BETWEEN 5 AND 12 KFT THIS EVENING ON SHV 
SOUNDING. HOWEVER THE AREA OF DRY AIR WAS SHRINKING...SO IT WILL NOT 
BE LONG BEFORE THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT TO GET SOME RAIN. 

CURRENT FORECAST LOOK ON TRACK...SO NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME. 

&&

.AVIATION...
HURRICANE IDA...LOCATED AT 23.1N AND 86.5W...CONTINUES TO DRIFT 
NORTH TOWARD THE ALABAMA COAST THIS EVENING. IDA WILL BE THE MOST 
SIGNIFICANT FACTOR REGARDING CEILINGS/WINDS/WEATHER ACROSS THE 
REGION THROUGHOUT THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH CEILINGS 
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN VFR...THEY WILL CONTINUE A GRADUAL DECLINE TO 
NEAR 3.5KFT BY 18Z MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NORTHEAST WINDS AND INCREASED 
SHOWER ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED AS IDA MAKES LANDFALL EARLY TUESDAY 
MORNING. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  71  57  75  54 /  20  40  20  10   0 
MLU  57  66  57  74  51 /  40  60  60  20   0 
DEQ  55  73  52  75  46 /  10  20  10  20   0 
TXK  57  70  56  75  51 /  10  20  10  10   0 
ELD  55  68  55  75  48 /  20  40  20  20   0 
TYR  60  73  56  76  52 /  20  20  10  10   0 
GGG  58  71  55  75  50 /  20  20  10  10   0 
LFK  60  71  56  77  52 /  40  40  20  10   0 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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