000
FXUS64 KSHV 080220
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
915 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...

LOCAL FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE...THUS NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE THIS 
EVENING. IKE IS STILL A CONCERN FOR THE GULF COAST STATES...AND IS 
STILL A MAJOR CAT 3 HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE EASTERN SIDE OF 
CUBA. IKE IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CUBA OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 
48 HRS ENTERING THE SOUTHERN GULF BY TUESDAY NIGHT. IKE LOOKS AS IF 
HE WILL ZOOM IN ON THE LA OR TX COAST BY NEXT WEEKEND.

ELEVEN 

&&

.AVIATION...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE 
ROCKY MOUNTAIN STATES AT MID-EVENING.  AS THE DEEPENING FEATURE 
HEADS TOWARD THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...IT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH A 
WEAK COLD FRONT TOWARD THE IH-30 CORRIDOR BY 09/0000 UTC.  THIS 
COULD RESULT IN AN ISO-SCT COVERAGE OF SHRA/TSRA MONDAY AFTERNOON... 
AS INCREASING SE WINDS BRING GULF MOISTURE BACK TO THE REGION.  I 
EXPECT THE COVERAGE...HOWEVER...TO BE TO SPARSE TO INCLUDE IN THE 
08/0600 UTC TAF PACKAGE.

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SINE CIG/VSBY REDUCTIONS TOWARD 08/1200 
UTC...I EXPECT FLIGHT CATEGORIES TO MOSTLY REMAIN VFR ACROSS AREA 
TERMINALS.  THE GREATEST RISK OF SEEING MVFR CIGS MONDAY WILL LIKELY 
COME S OF A KJSO-KMLU LINE...WHERE GREATER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE COULD 
CONTRIBUTE TO THE LOWER CIGS.  /BUTTS/

&&


.PREVIOUS POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  90  72  88  71 /  10  20  30  30  20 
MLU  71  91  71  88  70 /  10  30  30  40  30 
DEQ  68  87  69  86  64 /  10  20  30  30  10 
TXK  68  88  71  87  67 /  10  20  30  30  10 
ELD  69  88  70  86  67 /  10  20  30  30  20 
TYR  68  91  72  87  72 /  10  20  30  30  10 
GGG  70  90  72  88  72 /  10  20  30  30  10 
LFK  72  92  73  89  73 /  10  30  30  40  30 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

11/21

$$