000 FXUS66 KSGX 271059 AFDSGX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 300 AM PST FRI NOV 27 2009 .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS AS A TROUGH DROPS DOWN THE STATE TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP WITH THE TROUGH AND MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SATURDAY. THE MARINE LAYER WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY TODAY WITH LOW CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AN OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS SUNDAY AND INCREASES SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...DECREASING MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES OVER LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WEAKENING TUESDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THURSDAY. && .DISCUSSION...FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA INCLUDING SAN DIEGO... ORANGE...SOUTHWEST SAN BERNARDINO AND WEST RIVERSIDE COUNTIES. TROUGH MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH FAR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AHEAD OF IT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP WITH THE TROUGH TODAY AND DIVE SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER SOCAL SATURDAY. THE MARINE LAYER WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE LATER TODAY AND MOVE INTO THE COAST BY AFTERNOON. LOW CLOUDS WILL COVER THE COASTAL BASIN TONIGHT WITH DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SOCAL SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES OVER. WITH THE LOW NEAR THE AREA... THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP BUT WHERE THE LOW ENDS UP IS STILL TO BE DETERMINED. THE LOW MOVES SOUTH EARLY SUNDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT RIDGING OVER THE STATE AND SLIDING SOUTH. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH AN OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING AND NORTHEAST WINDS ALOFT. THE OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASES SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS...INLAND VALLEYS AND INTO ORANGE COUNTY POSSIBLE. THE OFFSHORE FLOW FALLS APART MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A WEAK FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS TUESDAY WITH NOT MUCH CHANGE THROUGH THURSDAY. && .AVIATION... 271000Z...SCT-BKN CIRRUS AOA FL200 AND UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE MORNING. CIGS BELOW 500 FT MSL AND DENSE FOG COULD BRIEFLY IMPACT THE COASTAL AIRPORTS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE MARINE LAYER WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN THIS EVENING WITH MVFR CIGS PREVAILING AFTER ABOUT 06Z. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. && .MARINE... A LONG PERIOD WNW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO FILL IN TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SURF HEIGHTS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 FEET WITH SETS TO 9 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS ARE POSSIBLE AT EXPOSED BEACHES IN SOUTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY. THE HIGH SURF WILL ALSO GENERATE STRONG RIP CURRENTS. THE SURF AND SWELL WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH SURF ADVISORY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SEE LAXCFWSGX. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SEE LAXCWFSGX. && $$ PUBLIC...WHITLOW AVIATION/MARINE...SS