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FLUS44 KOUN 040939
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
439 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-041700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
439 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PONCA CITY TO 
WOODWARD... AND INCLUDES ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM MID 
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE 
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AND 
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH 
THESE STORMS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL CREATE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT WILL SERVE AS A SOURCE OF 
CONVERGING WINDS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON... AS 
WILL A COLD FRONT MOVING FROM KANSAS INTO OKLAHOMA TODAY AND INTO 
NORTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT... TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 90S ACROSS 
MUCH OF OKLAHOMA TODAY WITH TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN 
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. THIS HOT WEATHER 
WILL CREATE AN ATMOSPHERE WITH MODERATELY HIGH INSTABILITY THIS 
AFTERNOON... AND AN ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR 
ISOLATED AREAS OF DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS WITH STRONGER 
THUNDERSTORMS. HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO 
MOVE SOUTH THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS... BUT INSTABILITY WILL 
DECREASE OVERNIGHT PRODUCING LOWER CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY JUL 5.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER 
CHANCES WILL BE LOW.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON 
TODAY.
$$