000
FXUS64 KOUN 271140
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
540 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF ISSUANCE...CIRRUS AND 10-20KT S/SW LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL 
DOMINATE TERMINAL FORECASTS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TOMORROW BEFORE
UNSETTLED AND COOLER WEATHER COMMENCES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA. CUTOFF LOW OVER BAJA REGION EXPECTED TO
KICK EASTWARD ACROSS TEXAS LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHICH
WILL ALLOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL FRONTAL PASSAGES THE NEXT
7 DAYS...THE MAIN TWO EXPECTED SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TIMING OF FRONTS SIMILAR AMONG MODEL
SUITES. GFS AND ECM ARE THE COOLER OF THE MODELS BEHIND THE FIRST
FRONT...AND GENERALLY KEPT FORECAST ON THE COOLER SIDE SUNDAY AS
PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. ECM MUCH COLDER TOWARD MID-LATE
NEXT WEEK AS CANADIAN AIR SURGES TOWARD THE REGION. RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY WILL ALLOW THE NOD TO THE ECM FOR THE WED-FRI FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS WILL BEING TEMPERATURES WILL BELOW AVERAGE...WITH
LIKELY THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON. AT THIS POINT...FORECAST
REMAINS DRY DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  43  66  43 /   0   0  10  10 
HOBART OK         72  41  68  41 /   0   0   0  10 
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  47  73  49 /   0   0  10  10 
GAGE OK           68  33  66  33 /   0   0   0  10 
PONCA CITY OK     68  42  67  41 /   0   0  10  10 
DURANT OK         70  46  68  53 /   0   0  10  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/11