000 FNUS54 KMRX 090849 FWFMRX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 .DISCUSSION... ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TOWARD THE REGION TODAY... AND WILL ENTER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...SO THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. HIGHER PRESSURE AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN TO SOME SUNSHINE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE MID SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY ...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101000- JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 69-74 (-1) 50-55 (-5) 66-71 RH % (24H TREND) 52-57 (+2) 95-100 (+2) 42-47 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 G15 LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G16 W 5 LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.10 0.01 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 5700 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 10 DISPERSION 57 32 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101000- NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 69-74 (0) 50-55 (-3) 67-72 RH % (24H TREND) 51-56 (0) 93-98 (-4) 43-48 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G16 NW 6 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 11 G19 W 8 G16 NW 7 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.07 0.03 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 5600 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 N 10 DISPERSION 59 25 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ TNZ072-074-101000- GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 71-76 (+2) 50-55 (-3) 71-76 RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (0) 90-95 (-6) 38-43 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 G17 N 5 G15 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 10 G19 W 7 G16 NW 8 G16 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.09 0.03 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 5100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 N 6 DISPERSION 51 10 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ TNZ087-102-101000- SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 76-81 (+4) 53-58 (-3) 75-80 RH % (24H TREND) 45-50 (-5) 89-94 (-4) 38-43 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G16 LGT/VAR NW 6 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.09 0.03 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 4500 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 6 DISPERSION 59 13 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ NCZ060-061-101000- NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (+7) 52-57 (-5) 74-79 RH % (24H TREND) 44-49 (-8) 90-95 (-5) 41-46 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 G15 LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G17 LGT/VAR W 7 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.08 0.04 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 4500 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 NW 7 DISPERSION 63 13 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101000- TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 73-78 (0) 53-58 (-2) 71-76 RH % (24H TREND) 48-53 (-1) 90-95 (-3) 43-48 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G17 W 6 NW 5 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.09 0.02 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 5400 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 7 DISPERSION 68 25 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101000- TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 75-80 (+2) 54-59 (-2) 73-78 RH % (24H TREND) 46-51 (-1) 88-93 (-2) 40-45 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 8 W 5 LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 10 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.10 0.01 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 5000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 NE 8 DISPERSION 65 25 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101000- TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3- 449 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2008 /349 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2008/ TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (+4) 56-61 (-1) 76-81 RH % (24H TREND) 46-51 (-4) 89-94 (-1) 40-45 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G17 LGT/VAR NW 5 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.08 0.01 LASI 3 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 NE 5 DISPERSION 74 12 REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$