000
FXUS64 KMOB 232030
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
229 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK 
ALONG THE COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON IF NOT ALREADY AT RELEASE OF 
THE AFD. THINK THE NORTHERN ZONES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY 
OVERNIGHT. SOME PATCHY FOG TONIGHT...MORE LIKELY IN AREAS THAT CAN 
MANAGE TO GET SOME CLEARING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TUESDAY IS 
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY...MAY BE DELAYED UNTIL AFTERNOON OVER 
THE NORTHEAST AS THE CLOUDS WILL BE SLOW TO LEAVE THOSE AREAS. NEXT 
SYSTEM SHOULD BE CROSSING THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT 
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF CLOUDS WITH IT. BUT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE 
LOSING ITS UPPER SUPPORT AS IT APPROACHES...THEREFORE AM NOT 
EXPECTING RAIN WITH IT BUT COULD HAVE A FEW SPRINKLES LATE AS THE 
FRONTAL BAND CROSSES. THANKSGIVING DAY SHOULD BE SUNNY BUT ON THE 
COOL SIDE WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE 
SOUTHERN PLAINS BEGINS TO MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. /11  

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)CHANGES MADE TO LONG TERM WERE 
TO REMOVE POPS FROM THURSDAY AND INCREASE THE POPS FOR THE PREVIOUS 
DAY 8 WHICH IS NOW DAY 7(MONDAY). THE MONDAY SYSTEM IS LOOKING LIKE 
IT WILL BE THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON. /11 

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF CYCLE.
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS THE STRATUS DECK CONTINUING TO ERODE FROM 
THE SOUTH. AS THIS CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON... 
CEILINGS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AT THE FORECAST TERMINALS...WITH 
VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY RETURNING. DIFFICULT FORECAST OVERNIGHT IN THE 
WAKE OF THE STRATUS DECK. THERE IS STILL LIKELY TO BE SUFFICIENT LOW 
LEVEL MOISTURE PRESENT TO RESULT IN A RETURN TO MVFR TO POTENTIALLY 
IFR CIGS/VSBYS AFTER 06Z. VFR LEVELS EXPECTED BY MID TUESDAY 
MORNING.  34/JFB

&&

.MARINE...A GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE 
MARINE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE 
AREA GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN GULF ON WEDNESDAY...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW STRENGTHENING AND 
SEAS BUILDING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH WITH 
SEAS SUBSIDING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF ANOTHER HIGH 
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE MARINE AREA.  34/JFB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...REMAINDER OF THE WEEK SHOULD BE RAINFREE BUT SOME 
PATCHY FOG AROUND TONIGHT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A LITTLE LIGHT 
DRIZZLE FROM TIME TO TIME. LOWEST HUMIDITY BETWEEN 45 AND 50 PERCENT 
THE NEXT TWO AFTERNOONS. /11 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      48  69  48  67 /  05  10  05  10 
PENSACOLA   51  67  51  70 /  05  10  10  10 
DESTIN      55  65  54  71 /  05  10  10  10 
EVERGREEN   43  68  43  68 /  05  10  10  10 
WAYNESBORO  42  69  45  64 /  05  05  05  10 
CAMDEN      44  67  43  65 /  10  10  05  10 
CRESTVIEW   46  69  47  71 /  05  10  10  10 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$