375 
FGUS74 KLZK 121836 AAA
ESFLZK

ARC005-009-023-029-063-065-067-071-089-101-115-129-137-141-145-147-13
2100-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
100 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN TUESDAY WILL LIKELY CAUSE MORE FLOODING...

BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER 
PORTIONS OF NORTH ARKANSAS BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING AS A POTENT COLD FRONT BRINGS HEAVY RAINFALL. THE SET UP 
WILL BEGIN WITH A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE STATE 
LATE TONIGHT. WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. 
STORMS COULD MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS REPEATEDLY BEFORE THE FRONT 
PUSHES INTO SOUTH ARKANSAS ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. EXPECTED 
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE STATE WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO 
TWO INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE INCHES. 
AREAS OF GREATEST CONCERN ARE THE NORTHWESTERN QUARTER OF THE STATE 
WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE EXCEEDED MORE THAN FOUR TO SIX INCHES IN 
THE LAST FIVE DAYS.

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE INITIAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY NEAR SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND IN AREAS WITH POOR 
DRAINAGE. CAMPERS IN THE OZARKS AND OUACHITAS SHOULD MONITOR 
FORECAST CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY BEFORE ANY 
RECREATIONAL USE ON THE RIVER...AS THEY WILL BE FLASHIER THAN 
NORMAL. MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL BE SLOWER TO RISE...BUT RUNOFF WILL BE 
FASTER THAN NORMAL DUE TO THE NEARLY SATURATED SOILS FROM THE 
PREVIOUS RAIN EVENTS. 

THE BLACK AND LOWER PORTION OF THE WHITE RIVER ARE ALREADY 
EXPERIENCING MINOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL LAST WEEK IN 
MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN MAY CAUSE HIGHER 
CRESTS...PARTICULARLY FROM NEWPORT DOWNSTREAM TO CLARENDON. AT THIS 
TIME...ONLY MINOR FLOOD CATEGORIES ARE ANTICIPATED BUT DUE TO THE 
TIME OF YEAR...AGRICULTURE WILL BE IMPACTED. THE RIVERS AT GREATEST 
RISK INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE BUFFALO...LITTLE 
RED...CACHE...AND WHITE RIVER.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK

RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE 
RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION.

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