991 
FXUS64 KLZK 032057
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

AFTER A COLD START TO THE DAY...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND A RETURNING 
SLY WIND ALLOWED TEMPS TO REBOUND INTO THE 40S AND 50S THIS AFTN. 
THE HIGH PRES RDG...ASSOCD WITH THIS LATEST COLD SNAP...WAS SITUATED 
VCNTY OF THE MS RVR AT MID AFTN.

THE HIGH PRES SYSTEM WL CONT SHIFTING EWD AWAY FM AR TNGT. 
MEANWHILE...LOW PRES IS FCST TO CONT TO STRENGTHEN OVR THE PLAINS 
STATES AND EVENTUALLY PASS THRU THE MID SOUTH MON NGT AND EARLY TUE. 
THE MODELS CONT TO INDC THAT LOW LVL MOISTURE WL BE FAIRLY LIMITED 
AHEAD OF THIS SYS AS THE ASSOCD CDFNT PUSHES ACRS AR...WITH LIGHT 
QPF AMTS EXPECTED.

IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE UPR ENERGY APCHG FM THE NW...ALONG WITH A 
SRN STREAM SHRTWV...WL COME INTO PHASE JUST E OF AR MON NGT AND TUE. 
THIS END RESULT WL BE BETTER RAIN CHCS E OF THE FA. DID CONT TO INDC 
SCTD POPS PRIMARILY OVR THE ERN HALF OF AR MON NGT AND EARLY TUE. 
DRIER AND COOLER CONDS WL RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK... 
FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND HEADING IN THE LONG TERM AS HIGH PRES 
ALOFT BLDS INTO THE MID SOUTH.

FOR TEMPS...EXPECT A GOOD WARMUP ON MON...ESP ACRS THE SWRN HALF OF 
THE FA WHERE READINGS IN THE 60S TO ARND 70 WL BE COMMON. BLW NORMAL 
READINGS WL RETURN FOR THE MID WEEK PD WITH HIGHS WED ONLY IN THE 
MID 40S TO MID 50S.

SFC WINDS...CRITERIA FOR A LAKE WIND ADVY ON MON LOOKS MARGINAL 
ATTM...SO WL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES. CONDS APPEAR MORE FAVORABLE 
FOR AT LEAST A LAKE WIND ADVY ACRS THE FA ON TUE AND WL CONT TO 
MONITOR.
&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. TO BEGIN THE LONG 
TERM PERIOD. THIS RIDGE WILL NOT MOVE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER 
UNTIL SATURDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL RETURN TO ARKANSAS BEHIND THE 
HIGH. AN UPPER LOW IN THE WESTERN U.S. FRIDAY WILL DIVE INTO TEXAS 
BY SUNDAY THEN WILL MOVE NORTHEAST. 

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. 
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A COLD FRONT INTO WEST TEXAS SATURDAY AND 
THROUGH ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON 
SATURDAY AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. A 
WARMING TREND IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE PERIOD WITH ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...51