000 FNUS53 KJKL 091131 FWFJKL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 631 AM EST MON NOV 9 2009 ...MINIMUM RH LESS THAN 25 PERCENT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION... SOME HIGH CLOUDS OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SYSTEM ARE MOVING INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GENERALLY GET THICKER AND START LOWERING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TODAY HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM 70 TO 75 ACROSS THE COAL FIELDS. THIS WILL HELP TO BRING THE MIN RH LESS THAN 25 THIS AFTERNOON. THE LACK OF WINDS KEEPS THIS FROM BEING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT AND A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE SYSTEM WILL FINALLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BACK INTO THE AREA. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-104-106-108-111-114- 116-100445- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-ELLIOTT- MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-OWSLEY-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO... PINEVILLE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE... BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER 631 AM EST MON NOV 9 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........27-37 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....10. VENT RATE...........POOR (9900 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT RIDGES AND 74 TO 84 PERCENT VALLEYS. 24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21. VENT RATE...........POOR (20700 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.02 - 0.38 INCHES. $$ KYZ088-107-109-110-112-113-115-117>120-100445- HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER- MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE... PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...HAZARD...HYDEN...WHITESBURG... INEZ...PIKEVILLE 631 AM EST MON NOV 9 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........24-30 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5. VENT RATE...........POOR (5100 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. 24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT RIDGES AND 72-82 PERCENT VALLEYS. 24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....23. VENT RATE...........POOR (23100 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.34 INCHES. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY... THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ JJ