000 FNUS52 KILM 082018 CCA FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST...CORRECTED DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 251 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2009 .DISCUSSION... A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY PORTION OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIPS FARTHER OFFSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY. THE REMNANTS OF IDA WILL BRING TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CAROLINAS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE WELL OUT TO SEA BY THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NCZ097-100-101-091200- PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE... WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH 251 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2009 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 50 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 43 76 57 72 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR NE 3 E 5 E 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR E 6 E 4 E 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.42 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 INVERSION 1800 69/1100 1800 CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 49 92 70 DSI 2 1 HAINES INDEX 4 3 4 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4000 1340 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 SE 12 VENTILATION RATE 56000 16080 ADI EARLY 21 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 31 FAIR 19 GEN POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 19 GEN POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 4 6 MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 5 3 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .VETERANS DAY...BREEZY. CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-091200- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 251 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2009 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 43 77 55 71 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 4 NE 5 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR E 4 E 4 E 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.43 PRECIP DURATION 1 5 INVERSION 1800 69/1100 1800 CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 45 95 68 DSI 2 1 HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4950 950 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 SE 13 VENTILATION RATE 64350 12350 ADI EARLY 17 GEN POOR 16 GEN POOR 26 FAIR 12 POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 15 GEN POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 5 7 MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 5 4 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .VETERANS DAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SCZ034-046-091200- HORRY-GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN 251 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2009 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 47 76 58 71 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR NE 4 E 5 NE 6 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR E 7 E 5 E 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.49 PRECIP DURATION 1 5 INVERSION 1800 69/1100 1800 CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 52 89 70 DSI 2 1 HAINES INDEX 4 3 4 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4390 950 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 15 SE 16 VENTILATION RATE 65850 15200 ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 39 FAIR 48 GEN GOOD 19 GEN POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 57 GEN GOOD 16 GEN POOR 20 GEN POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 5 5 MAX LVORI LATE 10 1 5 3 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .VETERANS DAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-091200- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 251 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2009 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 44 77 55 70 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR NE 3 E 4 NE 6 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR E 6 NE 5 E 8 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.48 PRECIP DURATION 2 5 INVERSION 1800 69/1100 1800 CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 46 92 69 DSI 2 1 HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4890 920 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 SE 13 VENTILATION RATE 63570 11960 ADI EARLY 21 FAIR 24 FAIR 39 FAIR 0 VERY POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD 0 VERY POOR 15 GEN POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 5 9 5 7 MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 6 4 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .VETERANS DAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT $$ 31