000 FNUS52 KILM 251041 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 541 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE CONSOLIDATING OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...PASSING WELL OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA LATE ON THURSDAY. DRY AND CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE BY MONDAY. A WARM AND MOIST RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. NCZ097-100-101-260245- PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE... WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH 541 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THANKSGIVING DAY CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 30 20 0 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 60 45 67 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 3 LGT/VAR NW 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 4 W 5 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.01 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 2 1 INVERSION 56/1000 1700 60/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 73 100 51 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 4 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1580 4600 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 5 W 8 VENTILATION RATE 7900 36800 ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 7 POOR 18 GEN POOR ADI LATE 16 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR 39 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 9 MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 2 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. $$ SCZ034-046-260245- HORRY-GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN 541 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THANKSGIVING DAY CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 30 0 0 PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 60 43 67 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 3 LGT/VAR NW 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 3 W 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 1 INVERSION 56/1000 1700 59/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 73 100 44 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 3 4 5 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1330 5080 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 3 W 14 VENTILATION RATE 3990 71120 ADI EARLY 12 POOR 4 VERY POOR 9 POOR ADI LATE 12 POOR 1 VERY POOR 68 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10 MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 2 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. $$ NCZ096-099-260245- BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 541 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THANKSGIVING DAY CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 20 0 0 PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 59 43 66 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 6 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 1 INVERSION 55/1000 1700 58/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 72 100 47 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 3 4 5 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1540 5140 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 3 W 10 VENTILATION RATE 4620 51400 ADI EARLY 14 GEN POOR 9 POOR 5 VERY POOR ADI LATE 14 GEN POOR 2 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 2 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-260245- ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON... DILLON 541 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THANKSGIVING DAY CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 10 0 0 PRECIP TYPE DRIZZLE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 59 41 66 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 0 INVERSION 54/1000 1700 57/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 66 100 43 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 4 4 5 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1630 5460 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 3 SW 13 VENTILATION RATE 4890 70980 ADI EARLY 11 POOR 11 POOR 3 VERY POOR ADI LATE 11 POOR 0 VERY POOR 69 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10 MAX LVORI LATE 3 10 2 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ032-033-039-260245- FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 541 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 TODAY TONIGHT THANKSGIVING DAY CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 10 0 0 PRECIP TYPE DRIZZLE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 59 42 67 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 0 INVERSION 54/1000 1700 57/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 68 100 42 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 3 4 5 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1360 5490 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 1 W 15 VENTILATION RATE 1360 82350 ADI EARLY 8 POOR 5 VERY POOR 6 VERY POOR ADI LATE 8 POOR 0 VERY POOR 71 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 10 MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 2 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT $$ RJD