003 FNUS52 KILM 250711 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 311 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013 .DISCUSSION... DRY CANADIAN AIR WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON MONDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK WHILE REMAINING DRY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES MAY RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE. NCZ105>110-252315- INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT 311 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013 TODAY TONIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 76 49 78 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 6 LGT/VAR N 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 8 LGT/VAR SW 3 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 55/0900 2000 64/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 23 75 22 DSI 3 3 HAINES INDEX 5 5 5 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5290 6190 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 13 SW 7 VENTILATION RATE 68770 43330 ADI EARLY 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 0 0 0 MAX LVORI LATE 0 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-252315- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 311 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013 TODAY TONIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 75 48 79 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 53/0900 2000 62/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 25 80 24 DSI 3 3 HAINES INDEX 5 5 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5260 6560 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 W 6 VENTILATION RATE 63120 39360 ADI EARLY 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 0 0 0 MAX LVORI LATE 0 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-252315- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 311 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013 TODAY TONIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 75 49 81 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR S 3 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 57/0900 2000 64/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 25 85 29 DSI 3 3 HAINES INDEX 5 5 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4860 6140 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 S 7 VENTILATION RATE 48600 42980 ADI EARLY 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 0 0 0 MAX LVORI LATE 0 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-252315- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON 311 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013 TODAY TONIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 76 48 80 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 54/0900 2000 61/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 23 82 25 DSI 3 4 HAINES INDEX 5 5 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5210 6700 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 N 7 VENTILATION RATE 46890 46900 ADI EARLY 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 0 0 0 MAX LVORI LATE 0 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SCZ032-033-039-252315- FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 311 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013 TODAY TONIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 77 48 81 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 55/0900 2000 62/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 23 86 26 DSI 3 4 HAINES INDEX 5 5 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5110 6370 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 E 6 VENTILATION RATE 45990 38220 ADI EARLY 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR ADI LATE 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR 0 VERY POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 0 0 0 MAX LVORI LATE 0 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 8