000
FXUS65 KFGZ 181602
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
902 AM MST TUE NOV 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING CLEAR 
SKIES...ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH 
THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND...A SERIES OF WEAK WEATHER 
DISTURBANCES WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND PARTLY CLOUDY 
SKIES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY WITH TEMPERATURES WELL 
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID NOVEMBER. A FEW PLACES WILL SEE HIGH 
TEMPERATURES COME WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF THE RECORD FOR THE DAY 
AND A SITE OR TWO MAY EVEN BREAK THE RECORD HIGH. WINDS WILL BE 
FAIRLY LIGHT TODAY WITH NOT A CLOUD IN THE SKY. THE FORECAST LOOKS 
GOOD AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION (230 AM MST)...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WAS CENTERED 
OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE MORNING HOURS. FROM TODAY 
THROUGH THURSDAY THIS SAME BASIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH 
THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM GRADUALLY WEAKENING. THE MAIN IMPACT OF 
THIS PATTERN WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES 
AND LIGHT WINDS.


FOR FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALL MODELS SHOW THE HIGH PRESSURE 
SYSTEM OVER THE WEST BREAKING DOWN WITH A SERIES OF WEAK WEATHER 
DISTURBANCES IMPACTING NORTHERN ARIZONA. TAKING AN AVERAGE OF THE 
MODEL OUTPUTS THE BEST FORECAST LOOKS TO BE....DAYTIME TEMPERATURES 
LOWERING TO NEAR NORMAL...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WITH A 
NEAR ZERO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DDV
AVIATION.......DB

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION.