000
FXUS62 KCAE 080722
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
322 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE TODAY. AN APPROACHING FRONT AND INCREASING ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OUR RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY JUST NORTH OF OUR FA APPEARS WILL REMAIN IN 
PLACE OR GRADUALLY BECOME DIFFUSE. LOW LEVEL FLOW TO BECOME SE AND 
INCREASE TODAY. MOS POPS ON THE LOW SIDE...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS 
INDICATE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE FOR AT LEAST A SLIGHT 
CHANCE OF DIURNAL CONVECTION TODAY. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MADE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. OUR REGION TO REMAIN UNDER A FLAT UPPER 
RIDGE. AN APPROACHING FRONT...ALONG WITH INCREASING ATMOSPHERIC 
MOISTURE...WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
IT APPEARS THAT THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR FA LATE WED INTO 
THURSDAY...AND STALL THURSDAY JUST TO OUR SOUTH...THEN GRADUALLY
LIFT BACK NORTH OR BECOME DIFFUSE. WILL MAINTAIN GOING FORECAST
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. NHC OFFICIAL
FORECASTS BRING HURRICANE IKE NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...WELL SW
OF OUR FA.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE AREA WITH LIGHT EAST SURFACE WINDS TODAY AND
TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS OR CALM WINDS WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE THIS MORNING WILL ALLOW MVFR VSBYS 4-5 MILES TO DEVELOP
NEAR SUNRISE 08Z-10Z. SOME LOCATIONS LIKE AGS AND OGB MAY DROP TO
IFR WITH VSBYS 1-2 MILES IN FOG. SUN SHOULD BURN FOG OFF 13Z-14Z
TIME FRAME. THEN MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS REST OF DAY AND MONDAY
EVENING. AIRMASS DRY WITH PWS 1.3-1.4 INCH. NAM MODEL SHOWS A SEA
BREEZE DEVELOPING 20Z-22Z TIME FRAME INCREASING PWS 1.6-1.7 INCH
EAST OF CAE AND OGB. THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXTREME EAST AREAS TO THE EAST OF CAE AND OGB. 
BY 02Z EVERYTHING SHOULD BE GONE. 

NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS EXPECTED DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$