000
FXUS64 KAMA 160811
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
311 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MEXICO AND WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL ALLOW ANOTHER REINFORCING COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. MILD SATURDAY BUT WARMER SUNDAY AND MUCH WARMER MONDAY AS
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST US AND INFLUENCES OUR
WEATHER. A BIT MORE TRICKY ON TUESDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BE IN
THE AREA...SO PERHAPS A FEW DEGREES COOLER TUE...ESPECIALLY NORTH.
AS A UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE PANHANDLES FROM THE NW...A
STRONGER AND MORE ZONAL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
STRONG SURFACE TROUGH OR DRYLINE NEAR THE TX NM BORDER. AS A RESULT
VERY WARM...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. APPEARS A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA WED NIGHT...PROVIDING SOME COOLER AIR TO
ADVECT INTO THE AREA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY AS VERY DRY
LOWER AND MID LEVELS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY PRECIPITATION.

WENT VERY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPS. MODELS CREATED A COUPLE OF
ISOLATED COOL SPOTS THAT WERE IRONED OUT ON WED AND THU. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO FIRE WX CONCERNS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN WELL BELOW RED
FLAG CRITERIA. VERY WARM...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS MAY RESULT IN A
SIGNFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERN ON WED OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                72  50  81  52  88 /   0   0   0   0   0 
BEAVER OK                  75  47  85  44  89 /   0   0   0   0   0 
BOISE CITY OK              70  50  80  52  88 /   0   0   0   0   0 
BORGER TX                  76  55  86  59  91 /   0   0   0   0   0 
BOYS RANCH TX              75  53  85  51  90 /   0   0   0   0   0 
CANYON TX                  72  48  81  47  88 /   0   0   0   0   0 
CLARENDON TX               76  53  83  55  89 /   0   0   0   0   0 
DALHART TX                 72  49  82  50  86 /   0   0   0   0   0 
GUYMON OK                  77  51  86  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0 
HEREFORD TX                71  48  79  47  86 /   0   0   0   0   0 
LIPSCOMB TX                77  50  84  47  87 /   0   0   0   0   0 
PAMPA TX                   74  56  82  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0 
SHAMROCK TX                79  56  86  53  87 /   0   0   0   0   0 
WELLINGTON TX              79  55  86  56  89 /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/09