000
AGUS72 KALR 251507
HMDALR
ALR

HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA
1026 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008 

ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR JAX MLB TAE 

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN: 

...PARTS OF THE ST JOHNS RIVER STILL ON THE RISE...

THE ST JOHNS RIVER AT DELAND AND ASTOR CONTINUE TO RISE TODAY AND 
BOTH EXPECTED TO BE IN MODERATE FLOOD.  NORTHERLY WINDS THE PAST SEVERAL 
DAYS HAVE PRODUCED A WIND INDUCED BACKWATER AFFECT ON LAKE GEORGE...T
THE SECOND LARGEST FRESHWATER LAKE IN FLORIDA...UP TO ASTOR AND ALSO 
LEADING UP TO DELAND.  THIS WILL BE THE CASE AGAIN TODAY AS METEOROLOGICAL 
MODELS STILL INDICATING A NORTHERLY WIND BEFORE BECOMING MORE WESTERLY 
ON FRIDAY.  AS A RESULT... KEPT A SLIGHT CONTINUING RISE TO NEARLY 
FLATTENING OUT AT THESE TWO LOCATIONS TODAY BEFORE RETURNING TO A 
VERY GRADUAL FALL LATE FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND.

ON THE ST JOHNS RIVER AT JACKSONVILLE...WIND INDUCED STORM SURGE FROM 
THE COASTAL LOW OFF THE CAROLINAS IS HELPING THE RIVER CLIMB ABOVE 
THE 13 FOOT LEVEL TO NEAR 14 FEET. WILL HAVE TO WATCH HERE AS THIS 
COULD CAUSE ABNORMALLY HIGH WATER IN JACKSONVILLE ALONG THE RIVER 
AS SEEN IN THE PAST.

JD
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THE SERFC IS INTERESTED IN THE USEFULNESS OF THIS
PRODUCT AND WELCOMES YOUR COMMENTS OR FEEDBACK ON 
HOW THIS WAS USED IN YOUR OPERATIONS. PLEASE SEND
ANY COMMENTS TO....JOHN.FELDT@NOAA.GOV


...SERFC...




$$